Probaway’s handout kit for treating Ebola

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One of the ways Ebola kills people is from dehydration associated with diarrhea. The methods for treating diarrhea are well known, and they can be administered at home by untrained people.

Unfortunately there is a lack of real information getting through to those most at risk. They don’t know what they should do to save their own lives from dehydration. Below is an example of information from the primary authority The World Health Organization (WHO). It doesn’t tell the reader what rehydration salts are, where to get them, how much to take, and how to take them.

Treatment of cholera

Cholera is an easily treatable disease. The prompt administration of oral rehydration salts to replace lost fluids nearly always results in cure. In especially severe cases, intravenous administration of fluids may be required to save the patient’s life.

Left untreated, however, cholera can kill quickly following the onset of symptoms. This can happen at a speed that has incited fear and paralyzed commerce throughout history. Although such reactions are no longer justified, cholera continues to be perceived by many as a deadly and highly contagious threat that can spread through international trade in food.

That was the cure for cholera from the highly respected WHO web page and from the Mayo Clinic.

When people are sick they don’t have the time to wander around the internet with useless generalities as found in the quote above; they want to know what to do right now, and how to do it.

After some searching I found the doctor’s formula for Oral Rehydration Solution (ORS). This would be helpful information if the sick person could read, knew what the chemical formulas meant, had access to these chemicals and had the measuring equipment to get the proportions right. Few people can use this information.

(g/L) grams per liter — table salt 2.6, glucose 13.5, potassium chloride 1.5, trisodium citrate 2.9, and apparently a standard zinc “vitamin” pill.

 

Below is the at-home preparation Oral Rehydration Therapy (ORT), a more user-friendly interpretation, that would be similar to what a doctor would prescribe. Of course bedridden cholera and Ebola victims will have little access to a doctor but most will have access to salt, sugar and water.

An example of a home formula is — 1 level teaspoon of salt, 8 level teaspoons of sugar, and (optionally) 4 ounces (113g) of orange juice; mixed into 1 liter of clean water. If the water source is questionable, it should be boiled for 10 minutes and allowed to cool before mixing the solution.

What is provided in that last box is advice that would make a real difference for acute diarrhea and would save many sick people’s lives. It is easier for an ordinary person to do because the terms are well known, and the materials are readily available. The reason this solution works so well at reducing dehydration deaths is because the intestine needs both salt and sugar to pass water through the intestinal walls into the body.

Here is another official treatment for disease, but it isn’t very helpful either.

The Center for Disease Control (CDC) Treatment for Ebola

“No FDA-approved vaccine or medicine (e.g., antiviral drug) is available for Ebola.

Symptoms of Ebola are treated as they appear. The following basic interventions, when used early, can significantly improve the chances of survival:

  • Providing intravenous fluids (IV)and balancing electrolytes (body salts)
  • Maintaining oxygen status and blood pressure
  • Treating other infections if they occur

Experimental vaccines and treatments for Ebola are under development, but they have not yet been fully tested for safety or effectiveness.

Recovery from Ebola depends on good supportive care and the patient’s immune response. People who recover from Ebola infection develop antibodies that last for at least 10 years, possibly longer. It isn’t known if people who recover are immune for life or if they can become infected with a different species of Ebola. Some people who have recovered from Ebola have developed long-term complications, such as joint and vision problems.”

The CDC’s three treatments don’t give an infected person a clue as to what they can do to save their life. They don’t have needles, intravenous fluids, or the slightest idea of how to use them. They have no clue as to how to maintain oxygen status or blood pressure other than to keep breathing. They have no suggestion on treating other infections if they occur. The only possibility of self-help is with maintaining their electrolytes (body salts), but there is no suggestion as to how they can do it.

A home treatment a kit could be prepared and sent home with the victim or with their caregiver. The kit would contain picture instructions, enough salt, sugar and a liter jar. This kit would be helpful for all forms of diarrhea. The kit could be given to everyone in an infected area, so they could start treating themselves at the first sign of diarrhea.

At the first sign of feeling sick or hot begin drinking the salt and sugar solution. The sugar and salt keep the water inside you and slows diarrhea. When people get too dry they die. Vomiting and diarrhea prevent water from getting into your system, so drink enough water to maintain your normal body weight. The problem is that regular fresh water doesn’t go through the intestinal wall when a person is sick with diarrhea. A liter of water with 1 teaspoon salt and 8 teaspoons sugar does go through the intestinal wall and rehydrates the body. Drink enough to maintain comfort.

What I recommend for hospitals if they must send feverish patients home is to give them a kit to help them survive. The kit below is good for the first ten days.

The Probaway 10-day Ebola survival kit.

  • 1 teaspoon salt (6 grams) 4 times per day times 40 = 240 grams of salt
  • 8 teaspoons sugar (48 x .8 = 38 grams) 4 times 40 = 1.5 kilograms of sugar
  • and if available citrus 2.9 grams 4 times 40 = 116 grams trisodium citrate
  • and a vitamin 1 time per day, if available 10 standard vitamin pills with zinc
  • an instruction paper showing in pictures how to prepare the life-saving drink.
  • If possible include a plastic spoon the size in the pictures in the handout.
  • All of this is contained in a large plastic bag.

 

They must have a home supply of water, and that will mean 4 liters a day or access to 40 liters minimum of drinking water. If possible, a caregiver should monitor their progress.

The problem with faith unlimited by reality.

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Saint Augustine (354 – 430) said Faith is to believe what you do not see; the reward of this faith is to see what you believe. This is a clear contradiction of common sense, and it is strange that a man renowned in the Roman Empire for his good sense would make such a statement. Augustine’s mother was a devout Christian and presumably so was he when a child, but he was a practicing Manichean from adolescence until the summer of 386, when at the age of 32 he converted back to Christianity. Before becoming one of the founding fathers of Medieval-style Christianity he was a professor of rhetoric, and in the year 384 at age thirty, Augustine won the job of professor of rhetoric in the most visible academic position in the Latin world at the time. He was baptized in 387 in Milan, soon went back to Africa and later became Bishop of the city of Hippo. That was a post he held until his death in 430 at the age of 76.

Hypatia of Alexandria (370 – 415) was a Greek Neoplatonist philosopher in Roman Egypt. She was sixteen years younger than Augustine, and was raised as a scientist by the head of the Library of Alexandria. At age 45 she was murdered in a grisly flaying ritual on an Alexandrian church altar. The instigator of that horror was later created a saint by the church and is still revered as Saint Cyril. Her crime was that she had written some books on astronomy, and astronomy didn’t recover for a thousand years because astronomy books were burned. The essence of Hypatia’s crime was that she was basing her thoughts on observation of natural reality, and discounting Augustine’s ideas based of absolute belief created by authorities.

Ideas can kill people. When ideas are founded on beliefs that have no foundations in reality there are no limitations on what they are and thus who will be killed. The belief can be twisted by those in charge to encompass whomever they choose because they choose the beliefs that will maximize their personal political power. Thus to promulgate the concept “Faith is to believe what you do not see; the reward of this faith is to see what you believe” sets in place a system that rewards submission to human authority and discounts natural reality, or published laws. After a thousand years of magical thinking the Europeans were still using roads built by the practical Romans, but the infrastructure of European society was in ruins.

Nature’s Imperative is to survive and reproduce.

The goal of life is to survive and reproduce. That is the Darwinian goal, but of course there’s more that occupies our time and attention. The thrust of our DNA is strong and should be obeyed, but in the longer view of planning to build upon those natural processes, it is better for our species that we die after we have provided for our offsprings’ future. That leaves more provisions for our children to thrive and for their offspring too.

When we observe humanity it appears that many people have lost contact with those basic functions of life, but most people by the time they reach reproductive age are out trying to acquire physical goods and earn a living. That striving for worldly success works well for advancing their personal survival and reproductive success, but they have often forgotten their basic reason for living. I know this for a fact, because many times I have asked groups of people, “What is the meaning of life?” and most of the time it comes down to their being happy and having enjoyable entertainment.

But, here’s my problem, “Why do people seek enjoyment in dangerous entertainment?” Here in Bend, Oregon, a recreational city, most people routinely engage in dangerous activities like skiing, rafting, mountain biking, rock climbing, mountain climbing, and many more. Also, these people commonly drive ten miles per hour over the posted speed limits even though the time saved is minimal. What these risky activities seem to provide is a sense of purpose to their lives that is lacking in their employment and family lives. Risk-taking seems to generate the pleasure of beating the system. But risking one’s life climbing up a vertical rock wall has no payoff and plenty of opportunity for deadly failure. When I ask them why they do these things, they claim it adds zest to their life, but that is in direct violation of Nature’s Imperative to survive and reproduce. To me those non-essential risky activities seem counterproductive and a direct violation of common sense. I would humbly suggest …

Never challenge Nature’s Imperative to survive and reproduce, because you are going to lose.

Ebola and sex

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Ebola patients are being released from hospitals after the acute symptoms, such as fever, vomiting and diarrhea, have subsided, and their blood tests are clear of Ebola virus. Unfortunately, as the chart below demonstrates, there are still live viruses within the body of the victim, and it is not known what the rate of transmission of these viruses are.

Ebola labratory tests of Ebola victims bodily fluids.

This data is from an earlier outbreak of Ebola, but the new form should be similar.

From Journal of Infectious Disease – Assessment of the Risk of Ebola Virus Transmission from Bodily Fluids and Fomites

In the summary:
“The isolation of EBOV from semen 40 days after the onset of illness underscores the risk of sexual transmission of the filoviruses during convalescence. Zaire EBOV has been detected in the semen of convalescent patients by virus isolation (82 days) and RT-PCR (91 days) after disease onset. Marburg virus has also been isolated from the semen and linked conclusively to sexual transmission 13 weeks into convalescence.”

The earlier outbreaks of Ebola have been contained locally to villages, and the disease was eliminated from the population. The situation is different this time because the disease has become widespread, and appears to going beyond West Africa. The Ebola outbreak will not be over until every case of it has been eliminated from humans. A single case on December 1, 2013 became 10,000 by October 2014. The American medical establishment has what may prove to be excessive hubris when they claim they can control an outbreak in this country. Time will tell. The US and other advanced countries may be able to cope, but what will happen when the disease reaches densely populated areas with very little medical resources. Until a vaccine is available humanity will suffer.

The report above is bothersome because if the virus has been observed to live in the semen for 91 days after onset of symptoms, that means there is a risk of transmission that would not show up for 100 days. That makes discovering and isolating the carrier difficult. If the carrier is a truck driver he may have many partners before he is even suspected. If transmission via semen is impossible then there is no worry, but since the virus has been shown to prefer warm wet environments it will have time to find a new host. The male victims are being told not to have sex for three months, but that is like telling water not to run downhill. It may turn out that if the Ebola virus can live for 91 days in a male’s reproductive system, it may well make the adaptations to reside there permanently. If that happens Ebola will be with us until a vaccine is developed to totally rid the body of it, and that may not be possible.

With 80,000 cases by New Year’s 2015, half dying leaves 40,000 survivors, half are male and that leaves 20,000, and of those perhaps 10,000 are sexually active, and of that there would be 30 exposures times 10,000 or 300,000 exposures. That is a huge number so we must hope there is zero chance of transmission via sex.

Projections of Ebola’s response to effective vaccines.

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Links to a history of Probaway’s [EBOLA UPDATES]
This logarithmic chart uses projections from the past Ebola cases and Ebola deaths with a speculative projection of the potential effects of large amounts of effective vaccines. The data in the solid lines from December 2013 through October 2014 is based on reports from the World Health Organization (WHO). The red disks and black Xs are derived from the reports on cases and deaths of the month ending where they are placed. The small dotted lines are straight-line projections into the future from from the previous six months.

There are already some possibly effective vaccine candidates based on inserting DNA strings into the Ebola DNA using the CRISPR technique to control their location. These vaccines must be tested for safety and effectiveness, but there is no time to do this with the approved methods, because the disease is doubling so fast. Desperate measures are going to be used to hurry the introduction of these vaccines, so some of them probably will fail to provide immunity, while others may cause disease themselves. Only with experience will it become known what will happen, and what will work, but if nothing is done the projection made on October 1, 2014 isn’t impossible, and that would be a tragedy equivalent to World War 2 by next October 2015. Ten thousand people will probably be dead of Ebola by December, 2014, but without an effective vaccine that could go to twenty million by next October. There isn’t any threat to humanity as a whole, because our population is currently expanding at seventy million per year.

Ebola vaccine human population response

Ebola logarithmic chart projecting the response to an effective vaccine.

TIME magazine post-dated to October 27, 2014 p. 22 writes, “Health officials in Serra Leone, for example, have given up on finding bed space for Ebola patients; instead, they are issuing instructions on caring for the contagious patients at home.” Ebola patients are now being treated by totally untrained, poorly educated people, without any safety equipment. They are issued a bar of soap. This fact makes our politicians telling us that we shouldn’t be worried, “Ebola is under control,” sound like fools.

From The World Health Organization WHO – official source, “People remain infectious as long as their blood and body fluids, including semen and breast milk, contain the virus. Men who have recovered from the disease can still transmit the virus through their semen for up to 7 weeks after recovery from illness.” This implies that symptom free people can still spread the disease, and some men have multiple partners.

For the next several months – the only effective control of Ebola is the physical separation of the virus from people. When effective vaccines become available Ebola may drop back to zero, or it may reside permanently in some people without killing them, and they become super-spreaders.

TIME will tell, but it won’t tell for a year or more.

Links to a history of Probaway’s [EBOLA UPDATES]

Ebola updated logarithmic chart compared to war and disease

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Links to a history of Probaway’s [EBOLA UPDATES] Since the Ebola outbreak I have been charting the cases and deaths on a logarithmic graph. To compare Ebola to Flu, Plague, AIDS and major wars the data was inserted and then the historic death tolls were compared proportionally to our current population. The chart was changed as more data was added and it became confusing to interpret. The present chart covers all the orders of magnitude from one person to ten billion, so it will be adequate for several more decades. The new chart’s dates go from the first case of Ebola through January 2016. There are vaccines already being rushed through research and pre-production and perhaps by July there will be enough to vaccinate everyone at risk. Until that time the only effective prevention of spreading the disease is physical separation of the disease from people. Once a person has the Ebola symptoms the mortality rate is about eighty percent without medical care, and about half that with care. Considering the lag time for effective treatment, and the current projections for the future ten months without a vaccine, the future of West Africa is grim.

The Ebola epidemic shown in graphic detail.

Ebola logarithmic chart from 1st victim to vaccine control. With Plague, AIDS, World War 2, with a 1 year projection.

A log 10 by 26 month graphic shows Ebola growth from the index patient to the time of possibly effective vaccine control. The data points are from standard sources based on the World Health Organization (WHO)and the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). They point out that the data is not exact because many people refuse to report that they have relatives who are sick. Because of the nature of logarithmic charts even a failure of half of the victims being reported wouldn’t change the trend of the graph.

Probably the best that can be done for the people living in West Africa is to inform them of the ways to avoid catching Ebola. Basically that is to avoid sick people and their effluvia, and to wash themselves often. Also, I would promote not touching one’s eyes, nose, and mouth as much as possible.

The only effective control of Ebola is the physical separation of the virus from people.

Links to a history of Probaway’s [EBOLA UPDATES]

What do I believe that’s false?

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I know people I like and respect that have some strange ideas they claim to believe. Some know that Heaven exists because they have talked to God and were assured that if they will be welcomed into Heaven. They are good citizens and, so far as I know, behave well within the published rules of Moses’ Ten Commandments. And, so far as I know, behave well within the published Laws of our Country, State and City. It would seem reasonable that if being obedient to official law is sufficient their eternal life of Heavenly bliss is assured.

I know other people who are obedient to those same laws, but haven’t had those same personal experiences with God, and so that short path to eternal bliss is uncertain. These people choose to believe in God as a hedge against being wrong and being forced into an eternal torment in Hell. It’s known as Pascal’s Wager, but I have warned these people that God is all-seeing and all-knowing, and he doesn’t like to be played for a fool. Because of their false belief they might be condemned to the worst torments imaginable, even to God, because of their lying to Him!

Some of my friends are Agnostic, and perhaps their thoughtfully intellectualized opinion is most reasonable. They don’t see any evidence of God, and don’t consider the existence of the Universe and all of the wonderful things within it as sufficient. They are worried that in such a huge universe any God would not have an interest in their particular being, and so they doubt. They have hope that when they meet, God or his representative at the Gates of Heaven, they can say in perfect honesty they didn’t disbelieve in God, but they didn’t believe either. Now, looking through the Gates they see and believe in Heaven, and looking the other way they see the fiery pits of Hell and believe in that too. They can now say upon this observation, that they truly believe and would prefer Heaven. Perhaps all the really interesting people are in Hell, but it’s no fun talking to them when they spend all their time screaming in agony. Although Heaven may seem boring at least it doesn’t hurt.

The Atheists I know come in two distinct categories. Those that never believed in any Unitary God, or even little gods, and hold that all things in our Universe are the interactions of material stuff. These folks believe their bodies will lose their life force when they die, and their elements will become part of the materials making up the non-living world. They believe their mind is a natural functioning of their body and its brain, and that when their body ceases to function their brain dies and their mind vanishes. What some people call the spirit is a construction of the mind, just like making sentences are constructions of the mind and when the brain ceases functioning the spirit, no matter how it is defined vanishes.

The other group of Atheists are former believers raised from childhood as true believers. These people are the more dedicated to their belief than any of the people discussed above, and the reason is that they were compelled by their own conscience to observe the contradictions within their former beliefs. This is a painful experience because it requires denying the validity of their parents’ beliefs, and rejecting a major part of the society they formerly lived within. For them to become  atheists requires courage, and thoughtfulness, and their commitment is deep, because they are not only rejecting those former companions’ beliefs, those friends and family will be rejecting them. Sometimes their rejections are accompanied with emotionally painful, perhaps physically painful experiences. The reward is a feeling they are living a more honest life because it is obedient to natural reality rather than one verbal constructed by men driven by panic and fantasy.

What do I believe that’s false? Religion is based on questionable assumptions, so do I believe in some things that are false?

Ebola – links to good source information and objective news

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Links to a history of Probaway’s [EBOLA UPDATES] On December 3, 2013 a two-year-old child died in the village of Meliandou of what in retrospect turned out to be the first case of the current outbreak of Ebola. Local doctors visited the village when several more related people died, but physical symptoms were not enough to separate the disease from cholera, malaria and others. There are many diseases in tropical Africa killing many people, but this one became obvious because of its contagion. From NEJM – “On March 23, 2014, the World Health Organization (WHO) was notified of an outbreak of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in Guinea. On August 8, the WHO declared the epidemic to be a “public health emergency of international concern.””

Source articles about the Ebola epidemic.New England Journal of Medicine – Ebola articles

  1. Center for Disease Control (CDC) – Ebola
  2. Nature com news. A premier scientific source of information.
  3. The Africa Paper: EBOLA: Hell in the Hot Zone. An excellent close-in account of the first few months of the Ebola outbreak and the responses.
  4. UNICEF Connect – Ebola and its devastating impact on children Photo in Meliandou
  5. WHO: EBOLA RESPONSE ROADMAP UPDATE = Google Search terms
  6. WHO: EBOLA RESPONSE ROADMAP UPDATE = 8 September 2014
  7. WHO: EBOLA RESPONSE ROADMAP UPDATE = 1 October 2014
  8. WHO: EBOLA RESPONSE ROADMAP UPDATE = 10 October 2014
  9. WHO: EBOLA RESPONSE ROADMAP UPDATE = 17 October 2014
  10. Wikipedia – WHO: Series of Ebola response maps as thumbnail maps
  11. Ebola vaccine development and testing
  12. PLOS Medicine – Ebola DNA analysis
  13. Journal of General Virology – The 2014 Ebola virus disease outbreak
  14. Science AAAS – Ebola vaccine trials raise ethical issues.
  15. Ebola Deeply – Analysis of the current Ebola outbreak

The only effective control of Ebola is the physical separation of the virus from people.

Links to a history of Probaway’s [EBOLA UPDATES]

Ebola projection graph compared to Black Death

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Links to a history of Probaway’s [EBOLA UPDATES] Our government’s response to Ebola is like the guy who jumped out of a plane without a parachute, “So far there’s no problem, and its been fun talking about it.” They say not to worry, there’s no problem, because so far there has only been one case of transmission in the US. Just before Christmas only one little girl in Meliandou, at 8.6224 -10.0642, was sick with Ebola, and now about 10,000 have been sickened, and half have died. That is a growth of 10,000 times in under one year, and for authorities to say the disease is under control is not optimistic, it’s absurd and counterproductive. The authorities are promoting panic by making ridiculous statements themselves. The public is becoming panicked by seeing how irresponsibly the people who must make the important decisions are behaving.

Site of the first Ebola victim.

Map showing the location of the village of Meliandou, Guinea, West Africa. At 8.6224 -10.0642

Meliandou, the original site of Ebola

Meliandou village where the first Ebola deaths occurred. Imagery date is February 4, 2014.

There are many villages about this size in the area, and most of them are located inside a ring of forest trees, with farming areas just outside the forests. They are generally about a mile apart, and connected by paths. There are about seventy homes visible in this photo with a typical size of 300 to 400 square feet area. There are no cars visible, and the seven miles to Gueckedou, a city of 200,000 is on a one lane path barely passable to cars. This Google Earth photo was taken on February 4, 2014; it is after six people of the one hundred living there had died. It was March 22, before the lab results had identified the disease as Ebola. The simulated aerial side view shows Meliandou to be situated on a picturesque hillside that would be away from unhealthy swampy areas. Note the size of the trees near the path for scale.

Meliandou simulated aerial view

The path to Meliandou village in a Google Earth simulated aerial side view.

Aerial view of Meliandou

Meliandou village nestled in the hills looks so picturesque and safe.

The graph below is logarithmic because to show the data on a simple linear graph the lines would be vertical, and it is useful to show how straight the growth has been.

Log chart of Ebola

Ebola growth chart comparing it to Plague, AIDS, World War 2, with a 1 year projection.

Basing a one year projection on the previous ten months’ growth is not unreasonable and it only brings the death toll up to that of AIDS. Both of these diseases would be easily controlled by simple separation between sick people and others.

Take some time with the chart above, because there are lots of data related in comprehensible ways. The data can be verified with simple Google searches, but it is presented on a logarithmic chart so the relationships can be seen. The Red line representing Ebola cases begins in the lower left corner at 180 sick people on April 1st, and the black line just below it represents the deaths. It reaches 120 people by May 1st. The red line reaches 7,000 by October 1st, and the death line reaches 3,500 by then. The very first case at Meliandou could have been ignored as an isolated case, but by the time 180 closely associated people have the disease, it is called an outbreak, and graphing it makes sense. With a data base of half a year it is possible to make projections into the future if the factors forcing the outbreak haven’t changed. The population of West Africa is 340,000,000, so even with the horrific rate of growth it would take fourteen months to infect everyone. Of course that isn’t going to happen, but the potential is there if all factors remain the same, which they won’t.

At some point in time these lines will go horizontal and Ebola will be line in history like the ones at the top of the chart. The orange lines represent deaths from major wars, and the green ones major diseases. The great plague, the Bubonic Plague had killed very approximately 200 million people of very approximately 400 million people then living. The chart has dotted lines above those historical events that are scaled to our modern population to demonstrate the extent of those disasters. Our current population is 7.3 billion and theirs was about 0.4 billion so we have an 18 times multiplier.

We must do everything possible to make certain Ebola doesn’t get away and become a worldwide disease. The American medical authorities have been saying that it can’t happen here, and yet so far Ebola has been killing people at the rate seen in West Africa. The only known effective way for coping with Ebola is physical separation from the disease, and I support creating as much separation as possible.

The sooner we implement the policy of physical separation the sooner Ebola will go back to zero cases, like it was on December 1st. Until then it can explode again, just like it is doing now.

Links to a history of Probaway’s [EBOLA UPDATES]

The Ebola panic may come with the winter flu season.

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Links to a history of Probaway’s [EBOLA UPDATES] In the Probaway post Stop Ebola with physical separation methods list, under the subtitle Treating sick friends, the first item is – Treat feverish people sick with flu or malaria as if they have Ebola. When that list was being written I was thinking of personal home situations, but expanding that idea to the coming flu season, when there will be millions of flu sufferers throughout the world, it becomes a massive public worry. When every case of flu is being treated as a potential Ebola source there will be public disruption. If Ebola is confined to West Africa there will be little in America, but if there are cases here everyone will be afraid they are being exposed to that deadly disease when someone sneezes.

The present governmental policy of importing Ebola victims, so they can give them better care, and then turning these partially cured victims loose onto the public, will create the very panic they want to avoid. The official policy and propaganda of the moment is that Ebola is difficult to catch, and yet even here in American hospitals the medical personal themselves are catching it. Those sickened professional people in sterilized settings are the ones who would be using more antiseptic procedures than will be available at home. If nurses can’t prevent the transfer of infection, who can?

The official policy is, “Don’t panic, Ebola is easy to contain.” The problem lies in the obvious fact that they are not doing the only thing that is known to prevent transmission of the disease, and that is physical separation from the disease. When it comes to Ebola, absence of body is superior to presence of mind. In the isolated village of Meliandou, at 8.6224 -10.0642, about four miles north-east of Gueckedou, a two-year-old girl had the first onset of symptoms on December 2, 2013. From that single case the entire population of Earth is now at risk.

Ebola meliandou is spread by direct contact with bodily fluids of a sick person with the mouth, nose, eyes or damaged skin. That might not seem much of a risk, but when I mentioned that to some friends at a restaurant Saturday morning, we looked around and half of the people there had their hands to their faces. When we scratch ourselves with our fingernails it is usually some place on our skin that has a problem. Unconscious scratching of a minor irritation can transmit Ebola if the fingers have touched something touched by a victim. What I propose for this problem, and what I am now doing, is to train myself not to touch my eyes. I put a little capsaicin on my finger tips. Now, when I touch my eyelids, nostrils or lips they burn for a minute. One application of Capzasin™ works for a whole day.

Ebola is an RNA virus, and these tiny organisms are unstable genetically. They are mutating, and the greater the number of victims the more opportunities there are for Ebola to become worse than it already is. It may find new ways of transmission, it may become deadlier, it may become more benign so it will reside permanently in people without killing them but still be transmissible. Life naturally fills all niches available to it.

Links to a history of Probaway’s [EBOLA UPDATES]

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