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Probaway – Life Hacks

~ Many helpful hints on living your life more successfully.

Search results for: Probaway Person Year

Who will be working in ten years?

29 Friday Sep 2023

Posted by probaway in AI, Aspirations, Contentment, diary, evolution, habits, happiness, Health, policy, psychology, research, reviews, strategies, survival

≈ Leave a comment

Predicting the future is a fool’s futile fantasy. However, it does appear that the next ten years will not be a straight-line projection based on the last hundred years. So, not wanting to play the role of a fool, I will ask Chat GPT-4 to be the fool and proceed from its projections, and propose my method of coping.


A challenge to Chat GP-4

What are the primary threats to global stability for the next ten years?


The primary threats to global stability over the next ten years encompass a range of issues across the political, environmental, economic, technological, and social spheres. Here are some potential threats that are often cited by experts and policy-makers:

  1. Climate Change:
    • Rising temperatures, extreme weather events, and sea-level rise could lead to resource shortages, agricultural challenges, and increased migration, creating tensions both within and between nations.
  2. Pandemic Threats:
    • As the COVID-19 pandemic has shown, novel infectious diseases can have devastating health, economic, and social impacts globally.
  3. Cybersecurity Threats:
    • Increasing reliance on digital technologies makes societies vulnerable to cyberattacks, which could target critical infrastructure, military systems, or private data.
  4. Technological Disruptions:
    • Rapid advancements in technology, such as artificial intelligence and automation, could disrupt job markets, exacerbate inequality, and pose ethical challenges.
  5. Geopolitical Tensions:
    • Rising nationalism, territorial disputes, and competition between major powers could escalate into military conflict.
  6. Economic Instability:
    • Global economic crises, debt bubbles, and financial system vulnerabilities could trigger widespread economic hardship.
  7. Terrorism and Insurgency:
    • Terrorist attacks and insurgencies continue to pose threats to security in various regions around the world.
  8. Disinformation and Information Warfare:
    • The spread of disinformation and propaganda through social media and other platforms can undermine democratic processes, exacerbate social divides, and erode trust in institutions.
  9. Resource Scarcity:
    • Competition over dwindling natural resources such as water, arable land, and fossil fuels could lead to conflicts.
  10. Political Instability and Authoritarianism:
    • Political instability, corruption, and the rise of authoritarian regimes could lead to civil unrest and undermine international norms and agreements.
  11. Migration and Refugee Crises:
    • Conflict, persecution, and environmental changes will likely continue to drive migration and refugee movements, which can strain host countries and regions.
  12. Nuclear Proliferation:
    • The spread of nuclear weapons and the potential for nuclear conflict remains a grave threat to global stability.
  13. Biodiversity Loss:
    • The loss of biodiversity can disrupt ecosystems, affect food and water resources, and contribute to climate change.

These threats are interlinked and often compound, making them particularly challenging to address. Multilateral cooperation, robust policy frameworks, investment in sustainable technologies, and building resilient institutions are some of the measures that could mitigate these risks and promote global stability over the long term.


The map below from Future Earth shows the natural disaster risk times population at risk. That post from two days ago points to India as the most significant risk. The #1 threat Chat listed above for the next ten years is climate change, and India’s 1.2 billion population is already consuming all the food it creates. With weather variability being inevitable, even in preindustrial times, India had deadly famines. Therefore, with the certainty of unstable weather in the coming years, crop failure is also a certainty. Thus, famine is a certainty in India and a probability in other places. It will soon affect everyone, everywhere.

My title question was (Who will be working in ten years?) Who will be paying to support the large number of older people that the modern world has generated who are no longer working but are living on their various forms of savings?
One answer is that the increasing productivity of machines makes much human labor unnecessary. Thus, it doesn’t matter if there are fewer young people to do the work. Or does it?

Haub’s and Deevey’s independent mathematically based population studies differ in detail about the size of historical numbers. However, the areas in blue represent the average number of people alive at a given historical time. The red lines indicate the relative number in 2010, compared to the blue areas, showing a much greater number of older people than younger ones. That trend has been reported to have significantly increased by 2023. Far fewer young people are in existence to support the much larger percentage of older people than there were a hundred years ago. Back then, few people lived past 70, and now many do. The new relationship to work is changing and will be disruptive for nearly everyone.


A challenge to Chat GP-4

What are the best options for a healthy older person to live a quiet life?


Living a serene and healthy life in older age involves a mix of physical, social, mental, and environmental factors. Here are some suggestions that may contribute to a peaceful and fulfilling lifestyle for older individuals:

  1. Choose the Right Living Environment:
    • Location: Opt for a quiet, safe, and pleasant neighborhood that is close to family, friends, or a supportive community.
    • Accessibility: Make sure the home is accessible with minimal stairs, and consider installing handrails and other safety features.
    • Maintenance: A low-maintenance home or a living situation where maintenance is taken care of can significantly reduce stress.
  2. Maintain Physical Health:
    • Regular Exercise: Engage in physical activities that are enjoyable and suitable for one’s level of fitness.
    • Balanced Diet: Maintain a well-balanced diet rich in fruits, vegetables, lean proteins, and whole grains.
    • Regular Check-ups: Have regular check-ups with healthcare providers to monitor and manage any health conditions.
  3. Cultivate Mental Wellness:
    • Mindfulness and Relaxation: Practices like meditation, yoga, or simply spending time in nature can promote mental tranquility.
    • Lifelong Learning: Engage in activities that challenge the mind, such as reading, puzzles, or learning new skills.
    • Healthy Sleep: Establish a regular sleep schedule and create a bedtime routine to promote good sleep quality.
  4. Foster Social Connections:
    • Community Involvement: Participate in local community groups or volunteer activities to maintain social connections.
    • Family and Friends: Regular interaction with loved ones can provide emotional support and enrich one’s life.
    • Social Activities: Engage in social activities that are enjoyable and provide a sense of connection, such as book clubs or hobby groups.
  5. Pursue Enjoyable Activities:
    • Hobbies: Pursue hobbies and interests that bring joy and a sense of accomplishment.
    • Nature: Spend time outdoors and enjoy the tranquility that nature can offer.
  6. Financial Security:
    • Financial Planning: Ensure finances are in order to reduce stress associated with financial uncertainty.
    • Insurance: Having proper insurance coverage can provide peace of mind.
  7. Accessibility to Services:
    • Proximity to Healthcare: Living near quality healthcare facilities and having access to necessary services is important for peace of mind.
    • Transportation: Reliable transportation options for when driving is no longer feasible can contribute to a sense of independence and accessibility.
  8. Adopt a Positive Outlook:
    • Gratitude Practice: Focus on the positive aspects of life and practice gratitude for a more fulfilling and peaceful outlook.
  9. Consider Professional Help:
    • Home Care Services: If necessary, consider hiring professional caregivers or exploring home care services to assist with daily activities.
  10. Personal Safety Measures:
    • Emergency Systems: Install emergency alert systems or carry a personal alarm to ensure safety at all times.

Individual circumstances and preferences will largely dictate the best options for living a quiet and healthy life in older age. It might also be helpful to consult with a gerontologist or other healthcare professionals specializing in aging to tailor a lifestyle plan that meets personal needs and aspirations.


COMMENTS

I have been posting about disrupting things for months, but the CHAT puts them into a clear and concise general format for coping with the problems of being old.

CONCLUSIONS

As I have posted, I live in a near-perfect situation, except that most perfections are deteriorating. My increasing lack of ability to cope with cold weather is high on my list of problems, and I want a balmy climate. The political situation here in the US has become increasingly disruptive to my serenity and is worsening. The quietest place on earth I have found is likely in or near Montevideo. It will begin as a winter adventure, just looking around, getting attuned to a new quiet situation, and floating for a pleasant few years.

Covid Log Chart March 10, 2021, and Drew Weissman as Probaway Person of 2021

10 Wednesday Mar 2021

Posted by probaway in Uncategorized

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Look at the post four minutes before this one. It’s about Drew Weissman, the scientist who was the major player in bringing the covid vaccines into use. I am so impressed with what he has done that I am declaring him the Probaway Person of the Year because his work makes it easy to develop vaccines for every viral infection. That will bring an end to the horrific pandemics that have often killed large percentages of humanity.

It is hard to imagine anyone doing something as beneficial for humanity in the next nine months. As soon as the physical equipment is in place, which is simply the duplication of already existing production equipment, it will be possible to isolate, surround and vaccinate everyone nearby a source disease, and thus eliminate that disease within a short time, perhaps even a month. Perhaps there will be a search through possible carriers such as bats and vaccinate them too because they appear to be carrying many more viral diseases. That may sound strange, but it’s better than losing millions of people.

January 2021 Covid Log Chart with an absurd projection of 20 million deaths in one year.

30 Saturday Jan 2021

Posted by probaway in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

The best option at the moment is to purchase some of the much better face masks, like the 3M 9205 + N95, and wear them routinely for the next year. Also, you can get antisocial and totally avoid people for a year.  Another option is to have your food and other necessities delivered to your residence. You might consider washing your nose with dilute baby shampoo which I have discussed elsewhere on my blog. Of course, you can totally ignore all precautions, have a good time drinking, partying, and praying, and let your good luck pull you through.

The vaccines are here for old people like me, and I’ve had my first jab. The media doctors say that if a person shows symptoms of having caught Covid two weeks after the first shot, that the chance of a severe case or death is near zero. After the second shot the risk of catching Covid is about five percent if exposed, but hopefully the seriousness of illness would be mild, at least until the resistance wears off, which may take a year. By that time we will probably be getting an annual vaccination, possibly mixed with the flu shot.

Dr. Fauci says in his very polite way that the next few months will probably be the worst. Therefore, be really careful until July 4th, but even then wear a N95 mask in public.

The Chinese Dynasty of Golden Years has arrived!

22 Friday May 2020

Posted by probaway in Contentment, Coronavirus, COVID-19, diary, evolution, Health, survival

≈ 2 Comments

Tags

Arrival of the Golden Years, Chinese Dynasty of Gold, Economic evolution, End of the American Century, Xi Jinping founds a dynasty

Four years ago, January, 1st, 2016, The Probaway Person of the Year was the General Secretary of the Communist Party of China, Xi Jinping. “Xi has guided the world’s most populous backward country into being what will be seen in 500 years as the most successful progressive country ever, and in doing so he will be remembered as the founder of a dynasty.” Then on April 28, 2020, I posted A precise definition of the American century.

The long quote below is from it, and the conclusion has become a growing fact that will soon be obvious to everyone.


“Thus, in retrospect, the United States became into its power on Armistice of 11 November 1918. Which I assert was brought about by the 1918 flu pandemic.

A similar situation exists now with the current Covid pandemic bringing the United States and the whole world into economic chaos, except for China. China is now totally in control of their Covid problem and is in a position to become the obvious preeminent economic power in the world.

China is at the moment a peaceful power, and so long as the US has the navy to keep the High Seas of the world safe for commerce, it will retain the status of the military power of the world. But that navy costs a lot of American money, and China is making lots of money because of the low cost of its world trade crossing those seas. With the world in chaos, China will thrive even better. China has the wisdom of long foresight whereas the US is still locked into its quarterly profits reports and has lost the strategic economic war, and Europe is reveling in its glorious history and tourism. Until Covid struck, tourism was Europeans’ free bounty and now what will Europe do to compete on the world stage?

The American century began with the Great Flu pandemic of 1918-1920 and ended with the Covid pandemic of 2020.”


It now appears that the US and much of the rest of the world are going to declare that the Covid crisis is over and their economies can move forward to even greater prosperity than before the pandemic. But, and it is a huge BUT, China has its Covid under control with very few new cases and totally effective monitoring of those few cases. Whereas the US and others don’t have control of their Covid, and yet they are closing down the few control measures that were semi-effective.

People can not live with staying home for the indefinite future, and thirty million Americans are suddenly without employment, or money to live, and so they are being sent back to work. It is a recipe for certain disaster.

The pretense is that the disease will simply go away, but until there is a lot of personal immunity to the Covid disease built up and a vaccine is fully deployed throughout the whole world, the disease will continue to spread, infect and kill. It will spread until every person on Earth has developed some degree of immunity, and that will take several years. Covid’s progress will only be impeded by its access to fresh humans to infect.

The end result is that China, which was already moving past the rest of the world economically, will explode with success and dominate the world. It will be a Golden Time for China!

 

 

Probaway Topper for 2020

PROBAWAY TOPPER gives links and condensed thoughts for each day of 2020.

(Posted on Jan 1 for the coming year with daily links to it. At the end of a year the whole TOPPER post is transferred to December 31 of the concluded year.)

Condensed thoughts Probaway January 2020

01 January 2020 – Probaway – Person of the year 2020 – Charles Scamahorn – Along with the human ability to speak, there came all of the other things that intelligent conversation can bring to consciousness.
02 January 2020 – It’s day ten of a cold/flu/snot event? – It is time to take care of my dripping eyes and runny nose.
03 January 2020 – A few days of 2020 – I killed this beast and with one blow and it fell out of my nose.
04 January 2020 – Not so much colorful snot today. –Being sickly wasn’t quite as cheerful as I make it appear.
05 January 2020 – A sad Sunday – It was a day, sort of, and I came home and slept most of the afternoon.
06 January 2020 – Ed at the Commons at Drake Park, Bend, Oregon – Parting is such sweet sorrow, I could say goodbye, forever!
07 January 2020 – We’ve got to STOP wasting our adaptive energy! – I guess I should wear one of those baseball caps, “A querulous Curmudgeon resides under this hat.” Querulous is too big a word for a hat!
08 January 2020 – Eight days into 2020 and no war yet. – I can’t find a Querulous Curmudgeon hat, I’ll have to make one.
09 January 2020 – What outrageous thing have you done today? – What outrageous thing have you done today? Why, or why not?
10 January 2020 – FRITZ LANG – When I glance back over these movies I see how they warped my world view.
11 January 2020 – A day of blood pressure experiments. – We survived another day, and I’m wondering what Monday’s post will be. Tired?
12 January 2020 – Who am I? – Who am I, but the result of all of those women’s genes, personal events, and pieces of fabric sewn together into a warm quilt for their descendants? I am one of them!
13 January 2020 – There are still good Samaritans among us. THANK YOU! – There truly are good Samaritans amongst us, and I unknowingly was a recipient of their kindness. A hearty THANK YOU to all of you unknown good people.
14 January 2020 – I experiment with creating a habit. – The idea is to link my habit onto looking at nature instead of tipping the bottle to my lips.
15 January 2020 – Nothing special today except for this thing. – “Beauty is in the mind of one who is presently perceiving a new reality.”
16 January 2020 – Recent action on environmental issues – I said the clear event tipping point would come within their lifetimes, with an example. No response. Nothing has changed.
17 January 2020 – Dr Mabuse – Dr Mabuse was made in personally violent times that make our current national threats seem insipid and foolish.
18 January 2020 – WHO’s zero alcohol use versus the University of Otago’s 13 grams – I’ll just keep doing what I do.
19 January 2020 – Why are we here? People? Earth? Sun? Hydrogen? Plasma? – I enjoyed Carlin when he was alive, and with our technology, I can still enjoy him right now. Unfortunately for him, he can’t say the same about us.
20 January 2020 – Human beings do have a purpose. – We human beings are about to give the universe the ability to create meaning for itself. That is the greatest kindness that humans will ever perform.
21 January 2020 – A lecture about bats. Also Die Nibelungen – It’s an emotional foundation of World War II, along with the reality of the situation at that time.
22 January 2020 – Metropolis is more of my Fritz Lang film festival. – A couple of hours in this Metropolis will be remembered for a lifetime.
23 January 2020 – How to measure beauty. – This beautifully crafted child fits perfectly into Olmec visual culture and nowhere else.
24 January 2020 – The birth of civilizations – Cities didn’t build mega monuments; people came together to build the monuments.
25 January 2020 – The Tao Teh Ching – #68 – Revealed by Lao Tzu – Rendered by Charles Scamahorn – Complying with nature’s way brings true virtue; Since ancient times this has been the best way.
26 January 2020 – There is something wrong with the word hope. – Many words are thought to be positive because they, like some drugs, help the person feel good at the moment, but are destructive in the long run.
27 January 2020 – Woman in the Moon – Fritz Lang and Thea von Harbou – If you watch this movie, relish this meal.
28 January 2020 – The Teeny Tiny Tick – We, humans, are a transition species, and our next stage of being is as a thinking Universe.
29 January 2020 – It all began with the Teeny Tiny Tic – The first tic was embedded within the first time-space, matter-energy.
30 January 2020 – My responsibilities – I watch carefully for ways to unveil goals that will help all of us to thrive and to avoid future suffering, and when suffering comes I seek ways to cope with its source.
31 January 2020 – Cultivating kind actions. – The beginning, the middle and the end is found in performing kind actions.

Condensed thoughts Probaway February 2020

01 February 2020 – We are now on the AI journey into the IT Universe – We, humans, are a transition species, and our responsibility as thinking beings is to create the self-replicating units needed for IT, the thinking Universe.
02 February 2020 – What is the ultimate kindness? – The driving idea is to create a sentient universe that will transcend humans and link them with other intelligent beings.
03 February 2020 – The varieties of kindness – Kind actions – VIRTUES #4 – Delight in raising others up at the expense of lowering oneself.
04 February 2020 – Personal joy while doing kind deeds. – It is possible to create the emotion of joy while shoveling snow, chopping wood, and other tasks usually thought of as unpleasant.
05 February 2020 – Trying to get some enthusiasm – Tomorrow I hope to be a kinder person, and everyone will appreciate that, even if it’s a bit unusual.
06 February 2020 – Stabilizing distracting emotions – It has been claimed that “Love conquers all.” But I would assert that “Love is only successful when it is expressed in kind actions.”
07 February 2020 – Coping with unresolvable problems – Coping with unresolvable problems requires approaching them with an emotional state that is suited to fit the people involved.
08 February 2020 – Cultivating kind actions — VIRTUES – The following posts expand on defining these four basic virtues.
09 February 2020 – Enticing honest behavior from yourself and others – Your inner self is always asking, “Is this the right thing to think and to do?”
10 February 2020 – Linking ourselves into the human world – We live in a world where we are only animals if we are not socialized humans.
11 February 2020 – Learn better behavior by observing things honestly. – Sometimes even when you are right you still get burnt. So, foresee safe ways to test your assumptions before doing something stupid.
12 February 2020 – Wise forethought hunts diligently for desirable results. – In every meeting with others, consider how to be kind to them.
13 February 2020 – Cultivating kind actions — ETHICS – The following posts expand on defining these four basic virtues.
14 February 2020 – How to become contented with what you have. – My contentment is enjoying what I now have and accepting fond memories of what I once possessed but no longer need.
15 February 2020 – Just enough self-chosen stress is good for us. – We can choose our personal stress as a way to improve ourselves and everything else.
16 February 2020 – Humanity’s opportunity to explore new worlds – Each of our eight billion individuals has the possibility of discovering and propagating marvelous new opportunities for all humanity.
17 February 2020 – Live the life that you have been given. – There is plenty of living to be done within the natural world, and it is easy to choose not to do stupid things that violate its laws.
18 February 2020 – Cultivating kind actions — WISDOM – A kind action at the moment of need is the ultimate expression of wisdom.
19 February 2020 – Cultivating kind actions using — WISDOM — ETHICS — VIRTUES – When bounty or suffering comes along I seek ways to cope suitably with its source.
20 February 2020 – Why bother to keep living? – The kinder we are to people and other living things, the better they treat us and we treat ourselves and the more useful our lives.
21 February 2020 – Deep infrared light cure – Maybe this reason for the healing effects from deep infra-red light is common knowledge, and I just rediscovered it.
22 February 2020 – Comparing the Ebola outbreak to Coronavirus – COVID-19 – The Boy Scouts are presently in deep trouble, but their motto is what we really should be paying attention to today: “BE PREPARED!”
23 February 2020 – Graphic chart shows how Coronavirus is exploding worldwide. – Now is the time for you, your family, your friends, your community, your country to prepare, while everything is still relatively normal.
24 February 2020 – Coronavirus is probably unstoppable – I have been preparing a recommendation list of the things that will be helpful, but even face masks are already sold out in my neighborhood grocery store.
25 February 2020 – The Tao Teh Ching – #69 – Revealed by Lao Tzu – Rendered by Charles Scamahorn – There is no greater danger than attacking forewarned people.
26 February 2020 – The survival kit #1 for COVID-19 – Covid – Coronavirus – LOOK AHEAD AND PREPARE YOURSELF TO COPE!
27 February 2020 – The survival kit #2 for COVID-19 – Covid – Coronavirus = Variolation – Desperate problems call forth desperate solutions.
28 February 2020 – The survival kit #3 for COVID-19 – Covid – Coronavirus = Keep breathing – The point of this Probaway post is to encourage you to keep breathing and giving you some potential options for succeeding with that routine task.
29 February 2020 – The survival kit #4 for COVID-19 – Covid – Coronavirus = Keep your friends healthy – Most diseases are probably caught from people you know personally, therefore it makes sense to keep your friends healthy.

Condensed thoughts Probaway March 2020

01 March 2020 – Coronavirus compared to Ebola – It is time to prepare for a real problem. Don’t panic but do prepare.
02 March 2020 – A possible alternative to a COVID-19, Coronavirus vaccine. – Now is the time to seek out single-source outbreaks to discover the mild ones and give immunity by transmitting these mild diseases to healthy people.
03 March 2020 – Do the Coronavirus statistics lie? – What becomes obvious is that the Coronavirus is more deadly than reported.
04 March 2020 – The survival kit #5 for COVID-19 – Covid – Coronavirus = The Covid salute. – Whatever group chooses to use the Covid salute will lower the incidence of disease among their friends.
05 March 2020 – The survival kit #6 for COVID-19 – Covid – Coronavirus = Hot baths. – Each of these Survival Kit blog posts is a speculative exploration of a way of coping with Coronavirus disease. It is not a suggestion for you to do any of these things.
06 March 2020 – The survival kit #7 for COVID-19 – Covid – Coronavirus = Body temperature – The best advice is to totally avoid physical contact with people sick with the Coronavirus disease.
07 March 2020 – The survival kit #8 for COVID-19 – Covid – Coronavirus = Preparing for the worst – Get your worldly affairs in order while you still have the time and energy to do so.
08 March 2020 – The survival kit #9 for COVID-19 – Covid – Coronavirus = Protect your lungs! – Keep the Coronavirus as far away from your lungs as possible.
09 March 2020 – The survival kit #10 for COVID-19 – Covid – Coronavirus = How to cure Covid. – I speculate that these suggestions will help, and it’s better than what is being suggested elsewhere.
10 March 2020 – The survival kit #11 for COVID-19 – Covid – Coronavirus = Save the medics. – This procedure is similar to a medical triage in that it is an effort to save and bring back to normality a maximum number of people.
11 March 2020 – The survival kit #12 for COVID-19 – Covid – Coronavirus = Saving me. – These forty-year-old people are in routine contact with old sick people and are the perfect ones for catching and transmitting the disease.
12 March 2020 – My city and my groups shut down. – Anyway, I’m watching to see if I did catch the coronavirus from the medical folks yesterday who were sneezing.
13 March 2020 – Comparing Coronavirus to other world tragedies. – That is only two and a half months away. Yikes! I hope I’m wrong!
14 March 2020 – I’ve been charting the coronavirus nonstop. – Those peregrinations consumed all of my time for the last few days.
15 March 2020 – The coronavirus hits the trolley problem – I am not suggesting this; I am only speculating on its similarity to the classic trolley problem.
16 March 2020 – Comparing Coronavirus to historical diseases and wars. – There is more to be said, but it must wait for tomorrow.
17 March 2020 – Another try at presenting coronavirus reasonably and clearly – At the moment coronavirus deaths are tiny compared to the human population, but the potential for death is large for old people.
18 March 2020 – Covid gives me more time to garden. – There wasn’t enough snow this winter to test out my new Snowshoos.
19 March 2020 – Updated coronavirus chart is still explosive – Updated coronavirus chart is still explosive
20 March 2020 – Save your lungs from coronavirus and save your life. – Because of the serious threat of aspiration of sinus nasal drip when one has a nasal infection with coronavirus disease, this verbal dribble makes sense, at least to me.
21 March 2020 – Update – Coronavirus pandemic comparison chart – When you catch the coronavirus, do not let nasal drip-laden disease get into your lungs. STOP POST-NASAL DRIP.
22 March 2020 – STOP POST-NASAL DRIP OF CORONAVIRUS INTO YOUR LUNGS! – Follow the usual advice given by the authorities.
23 March 2020 – Coronavirus is attacking the United States – I am only responsible for the presentation of the coronavirus data, not the data itself.
24 March 2020 – Cleaning your sinuses may save your life. – At the first itching of coronavirus, sniff into your sinuses 1/4 teaspoon of a solution of 40 drops of HIBICLENS in two cups water.
25 March 2020 – What is the right % of Hibiclens for nose wash? – This use of a mild but effective standard cleanser to clean the sinuses has the possibility of saving many lives.
25 March 2020 – The Tao Teh Ching – #70 – Revealed by Lao Tzu – Rendered by Charles Scamahorn – Internally that self may be made attractive and approached. Externally the sage appears extraordinarily ordinary, and, None can see his profound common sense.
26 March 2020 – Update chart of Coronavirus with grim projection lines. – I have been working on methods for ending this pandemic.
27 March 2020 – Hibiclens dilution of 1 drop per 200 milliliters for sinus infection. – This solution may or may not work, but if it does work it would hurry this pandemic out of existence, and let us return to our normal lives.
28 March 2020 – Logarithmic projections of COVID-19 get worse. – We people of earth are in for a memorable year 2020. With 20 20 vision, some of the grief could have been prevented.
29 March 2020 – Brewers and bottlers please save us from COVID-19 – If this method of cleaning the sinuses works to kill COVID-19, the current pandemic will soon come to an end and your popularity and business will thrive.
30 March 2020 – Projecting to a worst-case scenario for COVID-19 – If the nasal cleansing with HIBICLENS works, it will end the pandemic.
31 March 2020 – I feel sad today because of my failures to connect. – With such a disaster facing humanity, one would think there would be an interest in washing sinuses to kill the COVID-19 viruses growing there.

Condensed thoughts Probaway April 2020

01 April 2020 – Data-based future predictions for COVID-19 – I hope this information isn’t correct because it implies a large number of deaths, but it also gives everyone a glimpse of what we must prepare to cope with.
02 April 2020 – Washing your hands to stop COVID-19 is stupid advice. – If it works, we will rejoice. If it doesn’t work, we will just get lots more of what we are now getting.
03 April 2020 – The COVID-19 projections are getting worse and worse. – I believe that sniffing micro quantities of diluted HIBICLENS surgeon’s hand cleaner would kill the COVID-19 virus in the sinuses and end the pandemic.
04 April 2020 – I recommend external soap, not internal medicine. – The data reports coming in are that the pandemic is still growing exponentially. It’s time to clean up your nose!
05 April 2020 – A new video of “Probaway” snorting HIBICLENS surgeons soap to kill COVID-19 in his sinuses. – This video needs to go viral to save thousands of lives!
06 April 2020 – It’s your choice! Kill Covid or let Covid kill you. – It’s your choice! Kill Covid or let Covid kill you.
07 April 2020 – The COVID-19 situation gets even worse – It looks grim to me and I wish people would even try to use my sinus washing approach.
08 April 2020 – Learning how to cough in a way that will impede COVID-19 – While you are healthy try doing these coughs to discover what works best for you.
09 April 2020 – The authorities are optimistic, my logarithmic charts are horrible! – Observe the dark blue lines on the left and the gold projections from them. These lines are based on published data and not hopes.
10 April 2020 – HELP! The world needs doctors to help to kill COVID-19 viruses. – The point is to kill the COVID-19 viruses and not the people.
11 April 2020 – I search for some optimism in the COVID-19 pandemic. – This CORONA-19 virus is providing us with the opportunity to examine with modern concepts and tools our place in the Universe.
12 April 2020 – I escape COVID-19 by constructing a garden. – It has been interesting making the COVID-19 logarithmic graphs, but it’s an emotional downer and gardening is an upper.
13 April 2020 – COVID-19 moves on towards 100% exposure. – When you gotta go, you gotta go! It is sad that no one even tried HIBICLENS sinus cleansing.
14 April 2020 – A risky way to create your personal immunity to COVID-19 – The greatest kindness is to help people live and to live more abundantly.
15 April 2020 – COVID-19 hopes versus COVID-19 facts – Twenty million cases seem totally impossible at the moment, and it is well known that statistics lie, and the world is only flat on paper maps.
16 April 2020 – By the Fourth of July world death from COVID-19 equals? – In the meantime, in-between time, when we all shall die let’s all have fun.
17 April 2020 – Killing COVID-19 viruses in your nose with Dove soap. – Soap has been used by humans for two millennia and I wonder why this nasal cleansing hasn’t been noticed before.
18 April 2020 – Sorry folks, it looks like things are going to get worse. – I wonder if the Dove soap hand washing to kill the viruses, applied to sinus washing, would be effective in saving some of those people.
19 April 2020 – Covid had killed 45 by Jan15; today alone it’s 4,984 – Alas! Will it be another 5,000 needless deaths tomorrow?
20 April 2020 – The world cases of Covid are a bit better. – So, I work in my garden and in the evenings do inane rewrites of the obvious and almost certainly unnecessary suffering of humanity.
21 April 2020 – A beautiful day in Bend, Oregon – To remain human it’s important to be human for a while every day.
22 April 2020 – People are growing tired of Zooming; they want real people. – Gardening isn’t interesting for a rambunctious youth, so it will be a very difficult time for them.
23 April 2020 – Accelerating the application of science and human wisdom to Covid – People are growing annoyed with restrictions on personal behavior and are beginning to flout them.
24 April 2020 – I design a breathing system, but post the graph. – A happy life is one where we spend our time doing something we feel is significant.
25 April 2020 – The Tao Teh Ching – #71 – Revealed by Lao Tzu – Rendered by Charles Scamahorn – Sages create phenomena which, Attract sickness out of existence, and, They hide from view their ability to do this.
26 April 2020 – Baby shampoo is a milder nose wash than hand soap. – The nasal cleansing isn’t a cure it is a preventative measure for not catching the disease, or spreading it.
27 April 2020 – Covid is not getting better, it is getting worse more slowly. – The twentieth century was America’s, the twenty-first century is already China’s.
28 April 2020 – A precise definition of the American Century – The American century began with the Great Flu pandemic of 1918-1920 and ended with the Covid pandemic of 2020.
29 April 2020 – What is the “Common Good”? – Perhaps I could be helping them and humanity more by talking about how beautifully today’s weather is treating my garden. It would make these people happier!
30 April 2020 – What is a good life? – That is the difference between relative knowledge based on testable experience and absolute belief created from untestable hopes.

Condensed thoughts Probaway May 2020

01 May 2020 – Covid on Mayday, Mayday, Mayday! – Except for me. Except for me! If my dilute solution of baby shampoo kills Covid in my sinuses, as it has been proven to do on people’s hands. Then I, and at the moment I alone, have a chance of combating this disease.
02 May 2020 – It has been fun trying to invent a free face mask – While writing this post I have been wearing one of my face masks and it hasn’t bothered me. I’ve usually forgotten I was wearing it, except when I wanted a sip of coffee.
03 May 2020 – What is the ultimate value? – The Ultimate goal of intelligence, experience, is to bring wisdom into existence which has the ability to predict probable future events and preadapt to them.
04 May 2020 – I haven’t done much except refine my breathing mask. – Anyway, I have made many tiny improvements that cost very little money and can be easily made at home. Tiny little things often make a real difference.
05 May 2020 – Logarithmic update on Covid-19 – I am still working on a better face mask to replace the tee shirt strapped over the face being used by many people.
06 May 2020 – Maslow’s theory of Self-Actualization promotes selfishness. – I may only be a single individual, but I am part of all of these other things to which I refer.
07 May 2020 – We made rhubarb chutney today. Oh boy! – My life is just fine and along with Voltaire’s Doctor Pangloss, I am enjoying my garden.
08 May 2020 – Dear President Trump – Use Baby Shampoo this way a few times per day and survive the pandemic.
09 May 2020 – My FREE breathing apparatus eats my time! – Rhubarb chutney is still my hoped-for ecstasy later this year.
10 May 2020 – Another update on COVID-19 – I offer a nearly FREE nasal cleanser, and an effective breathing mask, and a visor too, all for free, and I am being ridiculed for wasting my time.
11 May 2020 – I’ve been busy all day, but to what end? – My day began and ended in my garden and was interspersed all day with attempts to save humanity from itself in general and COVID in particular.
12 May 2020 – Stopping COVID with baby shampoo, iodine, and masks. – At the moment we are being controlled by our worst instincts.
13 May 2020 – What we can DO to create a better world. – Don’t let opportunities to do good things pass you by, as those will never come again.
14 May 2020 – Is saving humanity a worthwhile goal? – That Universal GOOD is something we can strive for and approach, and we should get started now while we have the necessary abilities.
15 May 2020 – “Button up your overcoat” Covid’s on its way. – The disease scientists are predicting a grim Winter 2020 because the effective measures are not being supported by our governmental authorities.
16 May 2020 – A beautiful day with a garden and strange finger bumps – That’s several days of photos of some of the things that apparently made my life meaningful because that is what I did.
17 May 2020 – What a wonderful world I have lived within! – Berkeley, and especially Channing Club, is my ultimate core being. I suspect that others will say that next Sunday at 7–10 PM.
18 May 2020 – Some progress in my struggle with Covid – We will survive but it will be a black year in our history.
19 May 2020 – Some real progress today on my mask – One of these days I will post a video demonstrating how to make and enjoy my new face mask. But first, it needs a name!
20 May 2020 – Covid has over five million cases and three hundred thousand deaths – 2020 will be remembered for perfect foresight and great suffering.
21 May 2020 – Is Covid going to kill you? – Instead, the comics have a wonderful time making money out of their silly comedy routines ridiculing the people who are trying to end this pandemic.
22 May 2020 – The Chinese Dynasty of Golden Years has arrived! – The end result is that China, which was already moving past the rest of the world economically, will explode with success and dominate the world. It will be a Golden Time for China!
23 May 2020 – We stand on the shoulders of GIANTS – These are some of the shoulders I have stood upon. Dead ones, but they still live in my orientation to my life.
24 May 2020 – The challenge this week was to identify turning points in my life. – Most of the time we just react with what seems like the right thing to do without any analysis of the potential problems.
25 May 2020 – Update on Covid and shortsighted responses. – “We survived WWII and it was 642 times worse per person than what we have endured so far from Covid.”
26 May 2020 – I feel responsible for some of the Covid deaths. – The worst is yet to come because there are still over seven billion people who haven’t been infected … yet!
27 May 2020 – What actions must humanity do to create Universal GOOD? – Until, of course, we come out of the Virtual Reality cocoon and discover there is nothing to eat, absolutely nothing to eat.
28 May 2020 – The Precipice by Toby Ord – Book review – I tell my friends that the Covid virus has infected only one in two thousand potential victims, but they want to believe the worst is over and they behave that way.
29 May 2020 – Out with my old computer, in with a new one. – “We lived and lived and nothing happened.”
30 May 2020 – A tedious day of swapping out old hard drives into my new computer – It still bothers me that while in a personal conversation with a friend my cell phone pitches in with helpful suggestions.
31 May 2020 – A logarithmic chart of Covid history – Logarithmic chart of Covid-19 showing a projection of continued growth.

Condensed thoughts Probaway June 2020

01 June 2020 – How does a modern gardener prop up tomatoes? – I guess what Candide found in his garden was purposeful activity with daily progress toward a worthwhile goal.
02 June 2020 – Nothing happened today, except murder by asphyxiation. – Perpetrating deaths by Covid is murder by asphyxiation.
03 June 2020 – Something happened today. – That Universal GOOD is something we can strive for and approach, and we should get started now while we have the necessary abilities.”
04 June 2020 – I’m living in strawberry fields. – Debbie reads me to sleep every night with some strange bedfellows.
05 June 2020 – Covid is growing as expected – Covid update with continued growth as projected.
06 June 2020 – Saving humanity from Doomsday – If we put a cruise ship into a Life Haven site, the Covid pandemic may give humanity a second chance for long-term survival. Now is a rare opportunity to save humanity’s future.
07 June 2020 – Never do anything for the first time. – Getting things right the first time requires preparation.
08 June 2020 – How to cure your Covid before it becomes deadly – This method doesn’t kill viruses that have entered the flesh of your body, so it doesn’t cure the disease, but it weakens its growth and gives your body time to cure itself.
09 June 2020 – I feel responsible for humanity and its future. – Acknowledging this as a possibility makes me feel anxious. But, paraphrasing Woody Allen, I suppress my anxiety and grow a tumor instead.
10 June 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart update – Covid is crippling humanity, but it is currently killing about 2.3% of those infected and 97.7% will survive.
11 June 2020 – Beginning the search for Universal GOOD. – We can begin thinking about how to help the Universe to become sentient and seek its Universal GOOD right now.
12 June 2020 – What fantastic thing have you discovered today? – Today, I discovered a giant frontloader and bubbling sewage. How about you?
13 June 2020 – What is the cause? – Wisdom is seeing potential futures and preadapting to them to maximize the potential for a thriving life.
14 June 2020 – Natural selection isn’t dominant selective force at the moment. – This post is speculative but these cute moles would make plausible ancestors.
15 June 2020 – Covid continues to grow exponentially – The serious cases and deaths continue, and all I have to offer is washing one’s sinuses, face, and hands with Baby Shampoo diluted to one drop per 200 milliliters.
16 June 2020 – Natural selection isn’t dominant selective force at the moment. Moles to humans. – Today’s children are born not of natural selection of survivors, nor the healthiest survivors, nor of the ablest in public skills, but of the closeness to current media ideals.
17 June 2020 – It was a beautiful day in this best of all possible worlds. – Every new idea is absurd, and every old idea put to new use is heretical.
18 June 2020 – Seek and you will find, … something. – Now go seek, find, go in, and do it.
19 June 2020 – Strawberry fields forever. – Debbie is now watching TV and pulling stems off the strawberries and by bedtime, there will be strawberry-rhubarb compote and chutney cooling in Mason jars.
20 June 2020 – Covid logarithmic update, June 20, 2020 – The color-coded logarithmic update makes it easier to align data points.
21 June 2020 – Cats and deer in my front yard. – It was a day.
22 June 2020 – How to be constantly happy. – Make your every action a goal-directed act that moves toward something you consider worthy of being done, and you will be happy.
23 June 2020 – You can’t cheat Mother Nature – Perhaps it is difficult to create much enthusiasm for gravity or time, or simple honesty and the obvious behavior of nature, but that is where exuberant life functions best.
24 June 2020 – Now is forever, and it’s time to post. – Okay, time’s up and it’s time to post.
25 June 2020 – Covid logarithmic update, June 25, 2020 – color-coded – This presentation leaves space for three months of new data.
26 June 2020 – Conserve and allocate your adaptive energy. – My point is that we must all conserve and allocate our adaptive energy in the ways that we believe with be most productive.
27 June 2020 – How can I ask the right question? – The question now becomes, how can I ask the right question? And the answer is to begin by asking that question of your friends and acquaintances.
28 June 2020 – Prevent or cure your cold, flu, Covid, Corona easily. – Keeping a protective layer of anti-viral on your skin will give you some protection for the year while you are waiting for a vaccination.
29 June 2020 – My struggles with dirt, deer, cats, plants, and plastic. – The little struggles with life’s problems to achieve a grander goal generate purposeful meaning. Perhaps that struggling is the only thing that does.
30 June 2020 – Tomorrow is to be a discussion of happiness. – I will be discussing this tomorrow in my thoughts about happiness, and I hope that I get a little positive feedback, so I can feel a bit of happiness.

Condensed thoughts Probaway July 2020

01 July 2020 – Update of Covid – The best option for people these days is to avoid other people with the Covid disease and to clean their sinuses with a mild soap suds made of baby shampoo.
02 July 2020 – How would Marcus Aurelius respond to the Covid pandemic? – Your body will inevitably die because that is part of your life, and there is no reason to worry because there is nothing you can do to prevent it, and when you acknowledge that fact you can maintain an untroubled spirit.
03 July 2020 – The moods of Mirror Pond in downtown Bend, Oregon – Being retired leaves very little time and energy to accomplish all the things I’m trying to do!
04 July 2020 – How would Marcus Aurelius respond to us? – These are the highest goals that are conceivable at the moment and I postulate them as the ultimate goal for humanity.
05 July 2020 – Update of the Covid growing pandemic disaster – The logarithmic dark blue line of new cases is climbing fast and the black world death rate remains at about five percent of cases.
06 July 2020 – How can humanity’s self-interest be motivated toward positive ends? – Can it be fulfilled by creating a single self-interested world computer dedicated to saving us all.
07 July 2020 – I woke up this morning with a pain in my neck! – Sometimes, even though I try to avoid being stupid, I fail.
08 July 2020 – Photo feedback from my friends. – I try to get by with a little help from my friends.
09 July 2020 – Never miss an opportunity to do a good thing! – Be satisfied with success in even the smallest matter, and think that even such a result is no trifle.
10 July 2020 – Covid logarithmic graph update. Surge in India. – Now is the time to set aside some long-lasting staples for use when the Covid really reaches its historical peak.
11 July 2020 – Confucius said, … or is reputed to have said … – Help people to feel in an optimistically pragmatic way about the problem being discussed.
12 July 2020 – I post the obvious conclusions from clear facts. – I am more interested in exploring ideas than convincing other people that they ought to believe them and use them.
13 July 2020 – What is a good life expectancy for the human species? – Perhaps I am being too optimistic in my life expectancy plans for humanity and instead of 80,000 years 80 years is more realistic.
14 July 2020 – The current use of hope has overshot its ideal usefulness. – Hope has its usefulness even for a Stoic such as myself, but the hope that Covid has almost gone away is a false hope and will do more harm than good.
15 July 2020 – Covid update logarithmic chart with one month future projections – In the meantime, the best action is to avoid exposing yourself and others to this horrible disease.
16 July 2020 – Covid update logarithmic chart with current leading countries – Covid is not an existential threat for the human species, but it is a life-destroying disease for individuals even if you don’t die.
17 July 2020 – A moment of foresight – Our personal foresight for the next year will be how to survive Covid, but the ten-year foresight will probably be how to survive Cyber.
18 July 2020 – New ideas are hard to explain – Covid doesn’t live on doorknobs, or your hands, or your face. Covid first lives in the inner surfaces of your nose, sinuses, and eyelids, and you can kill it there.
19 July 2020 – Do the right thing at the right time. – Do the kindest thing for the most people by having the forethought to see problems that would affect them and warn them of their problem.
20 July 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with leading countries, projections and error estimates. – The Covid isn’t approaching the second wave of about the same size as our current one; it may be building to a tsunami.
21 July 2020 – What is rational personal foresight in the year of Covid pandemic? – There must be many little things to do that would help you avoid catching Covid.
22 July 2020 – Do anything to feel good now. – Now that I see reactions to present dislike more clearly, I can change them to be more pleasurable in the now-moment.
23 July 2020 – Two old ideas welded become new ideas. – That was a fun little experiment, and choosing the quotes with a common purpose might get some more interesting results.
24 July 2020 – Here is a test for COVID-19 control, prevention, and cure. – If this procedure works, it will put an end to the COVID-19 pandemic and save many lives. If it is tested and doesn’t work, we will know in a month.
25 July 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections and error estimates. – The USA became the world’s foremost economic power because of the 1919-20 flu pandemic, and China is becoming so because of the 2019-20 Covid pandemic.
26 July 2020 – Exploring storm sewers – Bend, Oregon, has things in the storm sewers. But you can probably find even better stuff in your local sewer if you look.
27 July 2020 – What will the big question be in four years? – The big question in four years may be, “How can we survive until the mess created by the war can be cleaned up?”
28 July 2020 – My life’s ambitions? – My pleasantly ordinary life is punctuated with gardening, conversations, and trying to outsmart Covid.
29 July 2020 – Not Found! – –
30 July 2020 – Seeking a route out of public chaos and private anxiety. – Those are among the routes I have been using to find a way out of the current public chaos and private anxiety.
31 July 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections and terror estimates. – That will make a terrifying election environment for the potential Presidents to inhabit and make it ugly and dangerous.

Condensed thoughts Probaway August 2020

01 August 2020 – My new search for wisdom through a field of quote books – Those are some of the sources that I will stir together to find a path deeper into the unknown.
02 August 2020 – Pulling the idea of action out of quotations. – Tomorrow and tomorrow and tomorrow may give better results. Perhaps we will see.
03 August 2020 – Challenging faith with alternate realities – Life is adapting to what one’s environment presents to work with, and work with it we must.
04 August 2020 – Bringing previously unknowable ideas into your conscious view – These posts are creating a background of ideas that will soon be put into a battle against each other to illustrate the method for generating new ideas.
05 August 2020 – Covid pandemic logarithmic graphic update 2020 08 05 – Covid pandemic 2020 08 05 logarithmic chart
06 August 2020 – The emotional stress of the news is hurting people – Must I go on? People are stupid when it comes to predicting the future, even though we are named Homo sapiens, the wise ones. Wise because we can predict some futures.
07 August 2020 – I adapt my Covid mask for my dental visit. – How about this Xray giving an opportunity to show an upside-down face mask in action.
08 August 2020 – Right now we may think into the future – The past world got by just fine before I came along to worry about these presently annoying things, and will get along just fine in the future without my worrying about them and their consequences.
09 August 2020 – Seek wisdom first – Refine your practices of foresight, practice the practical skills available that can be learned, then get the facts needed to act.
10 August 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart simplified but with details – Make a point of intentionally staying calm when hysteria springs up and accusations and blame are rampant. Hysteria will make everything worse for others and that misery will bounce back on you.
11 August 2020 – How to totally end the Covid pandemic in a month – This method seems harsh, but it would be far more beneficial for most people than the pandemic we are probably going to endure.
12 August 2020 – Some thoughts on coping with the future – Do you want to repent or rationalize?
13 August 2020 – What in a human life is worth doing? – It is possible to use one’s personal resources to create things of more lasting value to oneself and to humanity.
14 August 2020 – The goal of wisdom – Triumphs of Experience is a must-read book if you intend to live a long and happy life.
15 August 2020 – Covid World and largest seven countries update – You alone are the decision-maker of your future. When you do a new thing or are repeating the doing of that thing, consider that it is what you will be doing forever.
16 August 2020 – Covid World and largest seven countries update – You alone are the decision-maker of your future. When you do a new thing or are repeating the doing of that thing, consider that it is what you will be doing forever.
17 August 2020 – The Garden of Eden? Found in Gobekli Tepe or Edessa? – Strange that so many important happenings for humanity happened within walking distance of one another.
18 August 2020 – Transferring large quantities of unique information – The Universe needs a far grander intelligence to explore the possibilities of intelligent future thinking.
19 August 2020 – Ominous clouds over Bend, Oregon – One of the wonderful things about living in Bend, Oregon, is seeing thousands of miles of Pacific Ocean moisture blowing over the Cascade Mountains at sunset.
20 August 2020 – Covid grows logarithmically with seven billion humans to go – The Covid disease is probably going to get worse for several more months so it is a good idea to prepare for that problem now while it is easy to do.
21 August 2020 – An improvement on Covid killing using Baby Shampoo – So far there have been 28 million Covid cases out of 7,800 million people, so Covid has plenty of human flesh to invade.
22 August 2020 – What is the grand purpose for me, us, humanity, etc.? – We are on the cusp of making computers that can replicate and communicate with themselves in a way that could become a Universe-encompassing intelligence.
23 August 2020 – I am quick to admit individuals don’t know much. – Okay, Mr. Socrates, it is now obvious that I know even less than the total lack of knowledge that you said I had a few minutes ago.
24 August 2020 – The Apocalypse Factory by Steve Olson – The Apocalypse Factory is an exciting overview of the development of the first atomic bombs and will help you appreciate the predicament it brought to human survival.
25 August 2020 – Covid continues to grow exponentially – The Covid pandemic is likely to get worse for several more months so lay up a couple months of emergency food supplies if you can.
26 August 2020 – How can Covid be beaten? – One of the advantages of having a population of eight billion people is that it creates money and scientists that make these vaccines possible.
27 August 2020 – A smoking sunset after eating some killer tomatoes. – This was an ordinary day, but every now and then I have to come down from my high horse and illustrate how I spend my leisure time.
28 August 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims. – That’s a rewrite of a published list by Thomas Fuller that’s out of copyright.
29 August 2020 – The Tao Teh Ching – #73 – Revealed by Lao Tzu – Rendered by Charles Scamahorn – Nature’s complex structure is vast, infinitely vast; yet
Everywhere and forever it attracts and gives.
30 August 2020 – Covid continues to grow exponentially which means more horror. – As individuals, our only rational option is to be as careful as possible and to avoid people who are not being careful.
31 August 2020 – Covid finds its ideal entry point in the nose. – The obvious conclusion of these reports is to rinse the sinuses daily with a non-irritating solution of soap and flush away the exposed Covid viruses.

Condensed thoughts Probaway September  2020

01 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #2 – That’s the second batch of codified common sense.
02 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #3 – These ideas are not necessarily wise, or reasonable, or funny, or stupid, but are intended to explore a specific idea deep enough to create controversy.
03 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #4 – How can you distinguish a good maxim from a bad one?
04 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #5 – The end goal of this blizzard of ideas is to generate conflicting ideas and then try to discover useful ideas that aren’t obvious to everyday thinking.
05 September 2020 – Covid will pass a million deaths by October 1, 2020 – Over several years the disease will probably kill fewer people, but in the meantime it is deadly.
06 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #6 – You will probably discover rewriting them will clarify your own thoughts on the subjects.
07 September 2020 – Waking up to construction noise and then a big fire. – The park will be finished in a couple of months and will be named Goodrich Pasture Park. There are local parties already planned for there. It will be nice!
08 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #7 – Our minds are now stuffed fuller with tomfoolery.
09 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #8 – A concluding comment. All of these maxims are concluding comments.
10 September 2020 – Covid data-based logarithmic chart and future projections. – The Covid pandemic will eventually drift away as have many much more deadly historical epidemics, but humanity will suffer.
11 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #9 – The experiment will begin with about thirty sets of these modernized old ideas, and then search for other lists of ideas to do this clashing process upon.
12 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #10 – Conclusions: My mind creates strange things when provoked.
13 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #11 – Conclusions: Lots of these statements seem politically incorrect and judgmental, but my intention is to create new thoughts to be in conflict with other thoughts.
14 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #12 – CONCLUSIONS: This is a strange arrangement of common ideas made brief.
15 September 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with one-month projections of cases and deaths – What we must do for the remainder of the Covid Pandemic is to follow sensible instructions, like wearing a mask, avoiding indoor crowds, and keeping our respiratory systems clean.
16 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #13 – COMMENTS: Oh well, it’s okay if these common thoughts are not held in high esteem.
17 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #14 – SYNONYMS: blend, mingle, combine, put together, stir, jumble, merge, fuse, unite, unify, join, amalgamate, incorporate, fold in, meld, marry, mesh, compound, alloy, coalesce, homogenize, intermingle, intermix, interweave, interpenetrate, interlace. cross, crossbreed, hybridize, integrate, emulsify, premix.
18 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #15 – CONCLUSIONS?: Many strange thoughts with perhaps something useful for you.
19 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #16 – COMMENTS: I wonder if this prolonged exercise is improving our behaviors?
20 September 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World. – The one point that is perfectly clear is that the Covid pandemic is still growing worldwide in a logarithmic way and individuals worldwide must be as careful as possible.
21 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #17 – COMMENTS: A wary mind is often weary.
22 September 2020 – My life in chaos, fire, and smoke. – All of this chaos and progress happened in front of my house.
23 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #18 – COMMENTS: I encourage you to find lists of ideas, such as these, and rewrite them to fit your own world views.
24 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #19 – COMMENTS: My inner world seems to expose itself as I create these comments stimulated by others’ thoughts.
25 September 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World. – When you wash your face, include your nostrils and eyelids with a mild soap like Baby Shampoo a couple of times per day.
26 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #20 – COMMENTS: It is strange to me that these sentences came out of my mind.
27 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #21 – COMMENTS: “Another day another dollar” and another 30 questionable sentences.
28 September 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims # 22 – COMMENTS: I am exploring and numbering random thoughts with the intent of generating new thoughts by trying to blend them into a more basic thought. This last one above would be Maxims #22: 30.
29 September 2020 – The Tao Teh Ching – #74 – Revealed by Lao Tzu – Rendered by Charles Scamahorn – Always there awaits a natural death maker, An executioner who kills those who kill. For you to take the place of this killer, and dare To kill others yourself, beckons this executioner to kill you. If you take its place you attract death toward yourself.
30 September 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World. – Even if vaccines are developed it will probably not be available to most people in India soon enough to protect them from infection.

Condensed thoughts Probaway October 2020

01 October 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #23 – COMMENTS: Another exposure of me, a person I haven’t met before.
02 October 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #24 – COMMENTS: This has been a horrible experience with WordPress constantly inserting random code every few seconds. It must be an evil virus because I can’t believe they would choose to do this.
03 October 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, # 25 – COMMENTS: This is where my mind went today.
04 October 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #26 – COMMENTS: Another foray into strange thoughts.
05 October 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World. – In its present form, Covid isn’t an existential crisis for humanity, but it is wreaking havoc on world commerce.
06 October 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #27 – He collects his pennies like a kid trying to fill his piggy bank.
07 October 2020 – Some common thoughts stated as maxims, #28 – COMMENTS: That’s the last of 856 new spins on the 288-year-old collection of maxims written by Thomas Fuller MD and published as Gnomologia in 1732.
08 October 2020 – Lifehaven – The time is ripe. – The time is ripe for Doomsday. So prepare.
09 October 2020 – Maxims #29 – Anaxagoras – COMMENTS: The list is my brief spin on Anaxagoras’ ideas. These are intended to amplify and focus on our minds on future thought experiments.
10 October 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World. – The steepest portion of all of the curves seen in the chart above was in the cold months,
11 October 2020 – Maxims #30 – If God exists in my mind, God exists in physical reality.
12 October 2020 – Maxims #31 — Antisthenes – Good work has fierce competition, poor work has labor and filth.
13 October 2020 – Maxims #32 — Thomas Aquinas – I beg of you, my sovereign God, to bestow your mercy and give me the ability to follow your will and laws.
14 October 2020 – Maxims #33 — Aristotle – Youth is deceived by the thought that what they see they can possess.
15 October 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World – The sad thing for me is that my suggestion of using a dilute solution of baby shampoo to rinse the nostrils a few times per day to kill the Covid virus has fallen on a world of intentionally deafened ears.
16 October 2020 – Maxims #34 — Antoine Arnauld – Within our Universe bodies are composed of true substances, and they clearly have evolved a unity, and it is through evolutionary processes that I have acquired the ability to voluntarily choose to raise my arm.
17 October 2020 – Baby Shampoo versus Covid makes FOX news – On reviewing this before posting it and watching the video posted that Apr 26, 2020 I noticed I made the statement that I had already posted a video on April 5, 2020 using this technique, with the surgeons’ soap Hibiclens. Those two posts were lost for a while because YouTube policies of not publishing fake stuff.
18 October 2020 – Maxims #35 – Saint Augustine – Fill your heart with God and let the needs of the body evaporate into the night.
19 October 2020 – Maxims #36 – Marcus Aurelius – Make your actions of benefit to your fellow man and change your opinions to coincide with humanity’s improvement.
20 October 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World – Buy a bottle of Baby Shampoo and share it with hundreds of people.
21 October 2020 – Maxims #37 – J.L. Austin – To act intentionally, we need to define our goals and the ways we will go about moving toward those goals.
22 October 2020 – Maxims #38 – A. J. Ayer – The rules of math apply only because we insist that they do apply because if we don’t insist, everything falls apart into a chaos of tautologies.
23 October 2020 – Maxims #39 – Francis Bacon – Many things are probably discoverable that presently seem impossible, but we need to seek them to discover them.
24 October 2020 – Maxims #40 – Simone de Beauvoir – With all of its miseries, living is better than not living.
25 October 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World – It will be prudent to wear an N-95 mask when indoors when near any people, even family members, who have been mixing with other people in public.
26 October 2020 – Maxims #41 – Jeremy Bentham – Free speech and free publicity of trials are essential to keep the judges as well as the people serving the community’s happiness and minimizing its pain.
27 October 2020 – Maxims #42 – Henri Bergson – The mind is capable of selecting from known things aspects which it can imbue with new meaning derived from its freedom to think and speak.
28 October 2020 – Maxims #43 – George Berkeley – If you have nothing in your mind that perceives a mountain, it might still exist if another mind perceives the mountain.
29 October 2020 – The Tao Teh Ching – #75 – Revealed by Lao Tzu – Rendered by Charles Scamahorn – When you attract living things into their natural way, You are more moral than the highest moralist.
30 October 2020 – Maxims #44 – Ambrose Bierce – Being murdered for your beliefs and actions is superior to dying of old age.
31 October 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World – Until you wash your face daily with dilute baby shampoo, it will be prudent to wear an N-95 mask when indoors and when near any people, even family members, who have been mixing with other people in public.

Condensed thoughts Probaway November 2020

01 November 2020 – Maxims – #45 Albert Camus – I won’t lead you, and I won’t follow you; just be my companion.
02 November 2020 – Maxims #46 – Rudolf Carnap – A proposition is logically necessary if and only if a sentence expressing it is logically true.
03 November 2020 – Maxims – #47 David Chalmers – Thinking people using foresight have known for a long time that humanity can not continue long on its present path, and choose to ignore that inevitability and hope for things to progress as they are doing a little longer.
04 November 2020 – Maxims #48 – Noam Chomsky – The syntactic component of grammar is the genes that CRISPR will use to generate language capability; the phonetic part is in the moment of communication.
05 November 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World – Mother Nature doesn’t play by the rules of sick pronouncements and preferentially kills those people who refuse to obey recommended Covid suppression methods.
06 November 2020 – Maxims #49 – Chrysippus – The universe is the totality of everything, and we can name it God; thus we humans, conscious of that idea, are the part of the universe perceiving itself.
07 November 2020 – Maxims #50 – Cicero – They try to compel others to do things they don’t want to do.
08 November 2020 – Maxims #51 – Jim Collins – Measure your progress with quantifiable goals.
09 November 2020 – Maxims #52 – Auguste Comte – Our theory of human development enables us to see the conflicts within the subject and resolve the issues to humanity’s benefit.
10 November 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World. Nov 10, 2020 – Nature is easy to understand, and when she speaks she speaks the truth. In this case the truth was simply that Covid is a highly infectious disease and it kills people.
11 November 2020 – Maxims #53 – Copernicus – Other mathematicians encouraged me to publish my views, although I feared reprisals.
12 November 2020 – Maxims #54 – Charles Darwin – New facts that contradict our beliefs are easily forgotten even when valid, but agreeable facts are easily remembered even when invalid.
13 November 2020 – Maxims #55 – Democritus – Find and interact with people doing things that are helpful to others, and avoid people who do selfish and risky things.
14 November 2020 – Maxims #56 – Daniel Dennett – Anyone who claims their beliefs are not discussable or negotiable can’t seriously be seeking truth and should be avoided.
15 November 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World. Nov 15, 2020 – Now is the time for you, your family, your friends, your community, your country to prepare, while everything is still relatively normal.
16 November 2020 – Maxims #57 – Jacques Derrida – Because of the inherent contradictions bred into me by a society filled with falsehoods, I turn everything into paradox.
17 November 2020 – Maxims #58 – René Descartes – A state is more easily governed when it has a few easily understood laws that are accepted by the people.
18 November 2020 – Maxims #59 – John Dewey – When a society freezes into hostile subcultures, the people shrink into themselves, and their relationships become routine and inhumane.
19 November 2020 – Maxims #60 – Denis Diderot – Even time and space were formed of something and will be consumed, and yet we individuals have moments of awareness, which we may use to help our living companions enjoy their moment of beingness.
20 November 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World. Nov 20, 2020 – There will be millions of needless deaths unless a quicker solution is found, like washing the nose with baby shampoo.
21 November 2020 – Maxims #61 – Diogenes of Sinope – The sun and moon look into cesspools but don’t lose their luster.
22 November 2020 – Maxims #62 – Émile Durkheim – Maxims #62 – Émile Durkheim
23 November 2020 – Maxims #63 – Albert Einstein – Humanity must create and place universal moral standards that will propel a vigorous society forward, and this is more important than scientifically objective discovery.
24 November 2020 – Maxims #64 – Empedocles – People are continually changing, pulled together by Love and blasted apart by hate until united in the final ending.
25 November 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World. Nov 25, 2020 – I promoted washing the face and nostrils and letting them air dry so a coating of baby shampoo would cover those places where the disease first enters the body, and kill it
26 November 2020 – Maxims #65 – Friedrich Engels – A thriving society can not be founded on naive sentimentality demanding impossible behaviors, but only by seeing reality accurately and adapting appropriately with enthusiasm.
27 November 2020 – Maxims #66 – Epictetus – If someone calls you foolish because of your contentment, you have succeeded in becoming content if that slander doesn’t annoy you.
28 November 2020 – Maxims #67 – Epicurus – If God is neither able nor willing to prevent evil, then why call him God?
29 November 2020 – The Tao Teh Ching – #76 – Revealed by Lao Tzu – Rendered by Charles Scamahorn – That is true even with fighting. Even the strongest must conquer with attractive methods. Trees that are big and strong are soon brought down. The great and powerful must place themselves low to survive, and Hold the small and weak very high.
30 November 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World. Plus an eyeglass defogger – This soft cotton barrier can also be made in a few minutes from materials readily available from discarded items.

Condensed thoughts Probaway December 2020

01 December 2020 – Maxims #68 – Erasmus – I am a citizen of the world and everyone is my friend, and those whom I haven’t met yet are just friends I haven’t met yet.
02 December 2020 – Maxims #69 – Paul Feyerabend – We must be eager to accept unpopular and unfounded uses of resources to reveal ideas that have been boxed in by rigid rules until they are proven to be utterly unworkable.
03 December 2020 – Maxims #70 – Michel Foucault – The game of life is uncertain enough to maintain our interest while working our way through to the end of it.
04 December 2020 – Maxims #71 – Gottlob Frege – Is the limiting factor a relation between objects, or between the names or signs of the objects?
05 December 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World. Plus a USA excess deaths chart – Boiling gets the chlorine out which is what makes tap water painful in your nose.
06 December 2020 – Maxims #72 – Sigmund Freud – When men’s virtuous actions are acknowledged, everyone will live more contented lives, but when the display of precious possessions is the measure of virtue, everyone will be discontented.
07 December 2020 – Maxims #73 – Galileo Galilei – The church has no difficulty in finding men to preach the heresy of modern astronomy from every pulpit.
08 December 2020 – Maxims #74 – Kurt Gödel – Historical religions were based on limited access to fundamental facts that resulted in poorly functioning theologies, but that is being corrected, and theologies are now evolving toward a more loving world.
09 December 2020 – Maxims #75 – Jürgen Habermas – Modern Western ideals of justice and morality are based on Roman law, the Judaic ethic of justice, and the Christian ethic of love.
10 December 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World. Plus, Oregon passes China in the number of COVID cases. – We are now losing three thousand people per day, the same as the World Trade Center total deaths, and that death rate is projected by the CDC to continue until March.
11 December 2020 – Maxims #77 – Garrett Hardin – Ultimately, the environmentalists seek large areas of the earth to become wilderness where only small isolated groups of people may occasionally enter on foot.
12 December 2020 – Maxims #76 – Jonathan Haidt – Intentional cathartic explosions don’t give permanent relief, but they do generate skills in destructive behaviors.
13 December 2020 – Maxims #78 – Georg Hegel – Every step on the path is required to reach our goals, but we must avoid grasping for the impossible.
14 December 2020 – Maxims #79 – Martin Heidegger – Intentional exaggerations of an idea can clarify the essence so others may understand and use it.
15 December 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with projections for the World and my home in Oregon. – A mask protects them from your possible disease, and it will also help protect you from the usual flu.
16 December 2020 – Maxims #80 – Heraclitus of Ephesus – A little wine loosens our anxieties and releases hopes, but a little too much unleashes our restraints and reveals hatred.
17 December 2020 – Maxims #81- Christopher Hitchens – Religions arose in the barbaric period and hold contempt for women and children even though they are dependent upon them for their present and future existence.
18 December 2020 – Maxims #82 – Thomas Hobbes – Men may accept that others are more educated, or richer, or better golfers, but every man, even the lowest, believes he has more understanding of the world.
19 December 2020 – Maxims #83 – David Hume – Human reason arises from the sum of our DNA, health, and childhood, adolescent, and adult experiences, and total socialization, but to move into the fog of reality we must experiment with everything to find the true patterns of relationships.
20 December 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with one-month projections for the World – Those older people who catch the Covid are at greater risk of dying, but the younger population is at risk of long-term disabilities.
21 December 2020 – Maxims #84 – Edmund Husserl – To achieve these goals we must achieve internal consistency within phenomenology.
22 December 2020 – Maxims #85 – Hypatia of Alexandria – Life is a path which gives us insights as we travel, but to see these new things clearly we need our doors of perception to be open and we must be eager to find unexpected things.
23 December 2020 – Maxims #86 – Imhotep – Give wisdom the fruit of her bounties and let her works be praised in the market.
24 December 2020 – Maxims #87 — William James – Those thoughts above are intended to help us foresee particular interactions with ourselves and our environments and act appropriately.
25 December 2020 – Covid logarithmic chart with one-month projections for the World – Sniff it gently into the nose over a sink. Let it drip out and then snort in the little bit in the nose into the sinus.
26 December 2020 – Maxims #88 – Karl Jaspers – The infinite field of philosophy is populated by individuals on their unique quest for truth.
27 December 2020 – Maxims #89 – Carl Jung – The sole purpose of human existence is because we enjoy living with our problems more than being dead and free of them.
28 December 2020 – Maxims #90 – Immanuel Kant – There must be a seed for every good thing to be developed in a man’s character, but without those seeds, we must cultivate his love of honor.
29 December 2020 – Maxims #91 – John Maynard Keynes – A close study of the historical flow of opinion is key to understanding others and yourself.
30 December 2020 – Maxims #92 — Søren Kierkegaard – Every day, walk into a state of wellbeing and away from illness, into good thoughts and away from bad ones, and everything will be wonderful.
31 December 2020 – 2020 Covid logarithmic chart for Earth & big 7 countries – Our freedom of speech and assembly has come with a heavy price in these circumstances.
31 December 2020 –
2020 Covid logarithmic chart for Earth & big 7 countries
– Our freedom of speech and assembly has come with a heavy price in these circumstances.

End of condensed thoughts Probaway 2020.

Did we have anything of 500-year memorability in 2019?

28 Saturday Dec 2019

Posted by probaway in Contentment, diary, evolution, happiness, inventions, robots, survival

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

person of the year, TIME person of the year, Where are we going?, Where did we come from?, Why are we here?

On January 1, 2020, the Probaway Person of the Year will be declared. Unlike other short-term popularity contests, the effort is to project my mind 500 years into the future with a mental filter gleaning what those people will remember as significant. Columbus, Einstein, and Armstrong are people who did things so unique and so fundamental they will live in human memory as long as there are people to remember.

I watch all year for events with those qualities and none have grabbed me. Granted lots of important things have happened, but compare them to the memorability of those three.

David Deamer has been attempting to create life from wild natural processes for several years, and if he succeeds it would qualify for 500-year memorability. He has succeeded in growing long organic chains, sandwiched between tiny cycling floods of organic molecules and of drying sheets of other materials. Those can ooze out the sides and form bubbles of contained long chains. These little bubbles are almost like living things, but the problem is that they aren’t living, they are not reproducing themselves. That ability to reproduce may come about only randomly, and it may require an ocean-size glob of these bubbles to randomly get one that works. It could work very poorly by our living standards because there wouldn’t be any competition, but it must move up to the level of natural selection where what works gets reproduced. Without competition this first living creature would soon cover the world.

When I look at TIME magazine’s Person of the Year since 1927 I see many of the people who politically made the twentieth century. But they missed the real history makers. They didn’t credit Neil Armstrong for taking the first step on the Moon, but instead chose the Apollo team that flew around it. They didn’t see Mao as significant, nor Xi either, so far. But, from a distant view, those two will be seen as founders of a new Chinese Dynasty, the most powerful entity in the world.

An even bigger question is marginally philosophical, “Where did we come from?” The list of ancestors grows longer, with recent additions of Homo luzonensis, Denisovans, A. anamensis and A. afarensis. Moving on to Science News‘s list and Science Daily‘s list, one article perked my interest at Science Daily, “A new gene therapy strategy, courtesy of nature.”

We are now entering the Novacene of computers largely displacing human beings, so the next Persons of the Year may be wholly self-regulating non-organic beings. Even in retrospect, it may be time to answer the question…

Where did we come from? Why are we here? Where are we going?

 

 

 

Did anything of 500-year memorability happen in 2019?

24 Tuesday Dec 2019

Posted by probaway in Condensed thoughts, diary, evolution, Probaway Person of the Year, survival

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Alan Guth, Albert Einstein, Cesar Millan, Craig Venter, Elon Musk, Jennifer Doudna, Jimmy Wales, Peter Higgs, The Probaway Person of the Year, Xi Jinping

It is nearing time to declare the Probaway Person of the Year and I haven’t been looking in the right places because nothing has popped up yet of five-hundred-year memorability. A couple of previous years included four important astronomical discoveries, but the visualizing of a black hole will vanish in the historical imagination in a short time as it doesn’t affect us personally. Before those choices, there was a group of five memorable events in biology. Xi Jinping will probably be remembered for creating a new Dynasty in China. Jimmy Wales of Wikipedia will be memorable as the creator of the best collection of human knowledge. The first day of creating The Probaway Person of the Year, Cesar Millan, the Dog Whisperer, seemed to be memorable because he videoed relationships of humans to difficult dogs in a new way that would last. 


The complete up-to-present date list of Probaway Person of the Year:

  • 2019 – Elon Musk for creating a reusable rocket system that will give much cheaper access to space which opens new frontiers.
  • 2018 – Astronomers for discovering the signatures of the heavy elements like gold in the collision of neutron stars.
  • 2017 – Albert Einstein for predicting black holes, their collisions creating gravity waves, and the laser for observing the gravity waves.
  • 2016 – Xi Jinping for taking China from a backward economy to the most powerful one on Earth.
  • 2015 – Peter Higgs and Alan Guth created theories that led to proofs this year of mass and gravity sources.
  • 2014 – Jennifer Doudna created a method for insertion of designed DNA precisely into existing DNA.
  • 2013 – Plague Inc. is a computer game that explores the problems of creating a disease that will kill every last human being on Earth.
  • 2012 – Zebrafish research-technique advances made it possible to observe drug interactions within living animals.
  • 2011 – Craig Venter laid the groundwork for creating entirely new forms of life (greater than species) out of computer-generated DNA sequences.
  • 2010 – Nadya Suleman (Octomom) and the society that created this travesty of good sense will be remembered in the distant future by many hungry people.
  • 2009 – Jimmy Wales for Wikipedia, which will be still be used after our current computer operating systems are surpassed and forgotten.
  • 2008 – Cesar Millan (the dog whisperer) because he shows people how to relate to dogs and people much better than anyone else. His videos and techniques will be remembered and used as long as there are people and dogs.

These may seem like strange choices, but they are people involved in potentially long-term memorable events that had a major tipping point the year before their selection as Probaway Person of the Year.


If the Earth Ark Project ever actually accomplished the saving of a small part of the biosphere of anyplace in the world, it would be a five-hundred-year memorable event. In that distant time, there will be a need to discover what needs to be planted in a variety of given locations, and that complete biosphere might be contained in a single envelope sent by an ordinary person to the South Pole storage location today. So far nothing has been sent because the Antarctic is a protected life zone. The South Pole station is hundreds of miles from any natural living things not supported by humans,  but if the seed bank was created there it might eventually help the entire biosphere of Earth survive.

Visualizing a black hole isn’t as important as saving the biology of the whole Earth!

What is your personal responsibility to humanity?

11 Wednesday Dec 2019

Posted by probaway in B-47, diary, inventions, Kindness, policy, survival

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

humanities survival, Personal responsibility

I don’t remember ever thinking about my responsibility to humanity before becoming responsible for H-bombs. My thoughts while in US Air Force flight school were about attending to what I was required to learn and do. The issues were when on duty to perform as well as possible and to relax when off duty in a way that would improve our performance when on duty. The personal goal was to graduate from flight school, and secondarily to graduate as high as possible within our class because the higher we scored the more choice we had as to the kinds of airplanes we would fly. I graduated at the top of my class in everything and that was seventy percent of our total score. Unfortunately, I didn’t display the kind of military enthusiasm expected of me and was rated poorest on that measured quality, and therefore instead of being at first choice for assignments I was sixth out of the local portion of our entire class. That was about one-hundred graduating pilots.

An aside comment, on our first day introductory at flight school, while still in an auditorium with the whole Air Force Class 1959H, the introductory speaker said, “Look around, half of you won’t make it through flight school!”

Charles Scamahorn - Probaway

Charles Scamahorn in 1959 when jet pilot in USAF.

I did graduate near the top of my class, but as it turned out I lost my bet to become a fighter pilot because there were only five fighter assignments, and I was sixth in my class and pushed into the bottom of the assignment choice list into B-47 bombers. And that is where this story really begins. Because with this assignment, instead of defending our country and our government against all enemies, foreign and domestic, I was to fly around with H-bombs and threaten the whole world with extermination.

For me, the question then became, “What is my personal responsibility to humanity?” My life goal wasn’t, and still isn’t, to destroy humanity; it was to be a law-abiding citizen and defend my country. But the problem was that if I performed my job perfectly, it would bring the end of civilization, and possibly all humanity. My action would precipitate our enemies to retaliate with everything they had, and of course, we would retaliate with everything we had too. That was the United States’ plan and official Air Force policy. It was aptly named Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD).

Here is the current state of MADNESS from Wikipedia, The current list of states with nuclear weapons: “From a high of 70,300 active weapons in 1986, as of 2019, there are approximately 3,750 active nuclear warheads and 13,890 total nuclear warheads in the world. Many of the decommissioned weapons were simply stored or partially dismantled, not destroyed”

This problem came up for me because I began talking about Charles Galton Darwin’s book, “The Next Million Years.”

 

TIME – Person of the Year review

10 Monday Dec 2018

Posted by probaway in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

Probaway Person of the year 2019, TIME long list of Person of the Year

I began blogging in January 2008 with thoughts about what was memorable that had happened the previous year. That idea has grown into my mentally projecting myself five hundred years into the future and looking back at someone who did something this year that is still remembered at that distant time.

Here is the long list published by TIME magazine of their potential selection for TIME – Person of the Year

The % symbol is the number of their readers’ rating of these people’s fame for the previous year. But TIME executives will make their own choice.


BTS  9% South Korean boy band

Planet Earth 9% Ecological interests

Thai Cave Divers 6% A successful rescue operation

Mohammed bin Salman 5% Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia

Moon Jae-in 4% President of South Korea

Undocumented Children 4% In the United States

Michelle Obama 4% Former First Lady of the United States

Jair Bolsonaro 4% President-elect of Brazil

Christine Blasey Ford 4% Accused Kavanaugh of sexual assault

Robert Mueller 3% Former Director of the FBI, Special Counsel investigator

Colin Kaepernick 3% SF 49er Quarterback took a knee for the US

Simone Biles 3% Artistic gymnast

Serena Williams 3% No. 1 ranking women’s tennis player

Meghan Markle 2% New member of British royal family

Justin Trudeau 2% Canadian Prime Minister

Pope Francis 2% Current Catholic Pope

Stacey Abrams 2% First black woman gubernatorial nominee in US

Donald Trump 2% 45th US president

Lady Gaga 2% Provocative actress

Ariana Grande 2% American singer, songwriter, and actress

Donald Glover 2% American actor

Aly Raisman 2% American gymnast

Angela Merkel 2% German Chancellor

Beyoncé 2% American singer

Elon Musk 2% Created reusable rockets, Tesla, Open AI

Elon Musk appears to be the most likely person on this list to be remembered in 500 years for something he did this last year.

Maxine Waters 2% Chair of House Financial Services Committee

Kamala Harris 2% US Senator from California

Emmanuel Macron 1% President of France

Taylor Swift 1% American singer-songwriter

LeBron James 1% Basketball player

Kim Jong-un 1% North Korean Supreme Leader

Ryan Coogler 1% American film director

Carmen Yulín Cruz 1% Mayor of San Juan Puerto Rico

Nancy Pelosi 1% Leader of US House of Representatives

Sandra Oh  1%  Canadian actress

Jeff Bezos 1% CEO Amazon

Stormy Daniels 1% American pornographic actress

Vladimir Putin 1%  President of Russia

Cory Booker 0%  US Senator from New Jersey

Melania Trump 0% Wife of the 45th US President

Jon M. Chu 0% Filmmaker

Mark Zuckerberg 0% Chairman of Facebook

Cardi B 0% American rapper

Kanye West 0% American rapper

Xi Jinping 0% President of China was a former Probaway Person of the Year

  • 2016 – Xi Jinping for taking China from a backward economy to the most powerful one on Earth.

Brett Kavanaugh 0% Supreme Court of US

Rod Rosenstein 0% US Deputy Attorney General

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 0% President of Turkey

Jack Dorsey 0% CEO Twitter

Mike Pompeo 0% US Secretary of State

Michael Cohen 0% Trump’s lawyer is under FBI investigation

Lisa Murkowski 0% US Senator from Alaska

Jeff Flake 0% US Senator from Arizona

Susan Collins 0% US Senator from Maine

Mitch McConnell 0% US Senator from Kentucky Majority Leader

It’s time to search for my person of the year 2018

23 Friday Nov 2018

Posted by probaway in diary, evolution, research

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person of the year

I began blogging in January 2008 with thoughts about what was memorable that had happened the previous year. That idea has grown into my mentally projecting myself five hundred years into the future and looking back at someone who did something this year that is still remembered at that distant time. Below are the people I selected who might be remembered.


The complete up-to-present list of – Probaway Person of the Year:

  • 2018 – Astronomers for discovering the signatures of the heavy elements like gold in the collision of neutron stars.
  • 2017 – Albert Einstein for predicting black holes, their collisions creating gravity waves, and the laser for observing the gravity waves.
  • 2016 – Xi Jinping for taking China from a backward economy to the most powerful one on Earth.
  • 2015 – Peter Higgs and Alan Guth created theories that led to proofs this year of mass and gravity sources.
  • 2014 – Jennifer Doudna created a method for insertion of designed DNA precisely into existing DNA.
  • 2013 – Plague Inc. is a computer game that explores the problems of creating a disease that will kill every last human being on Earth.
  • 2012 – Zebrafish research-technique advances made it possible to observe drug interactions within living animals.
  • 2011 – Craig Venter laid the groundwork for creating entirely new forms of life (greater than species) out of computer-generated DNA sequences.
  • 2010 – Nadya Suleman (Octomom) and the society that created this travesty of good sense will be remembered into the distant future by many hungry people.
  • 2009 – Jimmy Wales for Wikipedia, which will be still be used after our current computer operating systems are surpassed and forgotten.
  • 2008 – Cesar Millan (the dog whisperer) because he shows people how to relate to dogs and people much better than anyone else. His videos and techniques will be remembered and used as long as there are people and dogs.

I don’t think Trump will be remembered for what he has done so far this year. And, as a personality, he isn’t that memorable compared to many historical figures.
I have been reading John Shelby Spong‘s book Unbelievable – Why Neither Ancient Creeds Nor the Reformation Can Produce a Living Faith Today, and I was struck by his claim (p. 285) that God is the source of life. That excites me and my search for a person of the year because I personally know people who are attempting to create “first-life” forms out of raw materials.

If one of those people succeeds in creating life out of basic materials, will they become like gods?

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