From Worldometers – Days from the first symptom to death: “The China National Health Commission reported the details of the first 17 deaths up to 24 pm 22 Jan 2020. [The first death was only a week earlier] A study of these cases found that the median days from the first symptom to death were 14 (range 6-41) days, and tended to be shorter among people of 70-year-old or above (11.5 [range 6-19] days) than those with ages below 70 years old (20 [range 10-41] days).”
There will be two data points, to begin with, 1. The one reported in the previous paragraph, “the median days from the first symptom to death was 14.” 2. The moment of exposure of the person being documented. Or stated another way, The incubation period = “5.2 days (4.1 – 7.0 days range, based on 425 cases).”
If we know a group of exposed people’s first day of symptom, and their age, which they can report to their health care providers on contact day, then we can estimate the average day of their death from the coronavirus if they do die from that disease. That is a good time for them to write their last will and testament.
If we add the incubation days to the sick days we get 19.2 days from estimated date of exposure to average days to death, of those who die. Now, assuming that we have a good idea of how many people are exposed to coronavirus today, we can estimate how many will die in about 19 days. So, don’t touch people who appear to have a fever and a dry cough and quietly walk away.
I don’t know how this analysis can help you prolong your life, but it can give you a bit of warning as to your own mortality, and if you are old, as I am, and catch the Coronavirus it gives you encouragement to live while you can and …
Get your worldly affairs in order while you still have the time and energy to do so.