The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists’ Doomsday Clock Timeline had a disturbing update today. It was moved from Three Minutes to Midnight to Two and a Half Minutes to Midnight. If you try hard you can probably hold your breath for that long.

The Doomsday Clock goes RED

The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists Doomsday Clock goes RED.


I have been only intellectually involved with the H-bomb since the late 1950s. Now I am an intentional outsider since I departed my job in the US Air Force as a bomber pilot, but nuclear Armageddon has never been far from my mind. I am almost daily thinking about ways which might alleviate the Doomsday problem for humanity. So far it has been a grim and lonely subject to think about because most people, essentially everyone, instantly gives up on the subject as being intractable. The easiest and most doable thing for an individual is The EarthArk Project. It doesn’t solve or even challenge the problem but it does give humanity some hope of restoration to a pre-Doomsday environment.

A BACKGROUND OF PROBLEMS FOR THE DOOMSDAY EQUATION

  1. WMDs – The Current progress defending against terrorism
  2. Lifehaven – War, Famine, Pestilence and Death.
  3. What are the tipping points for the world?
  4. Predicting the unknown unknowns of Doomsday
  5. Lifehaven – How bad are the 15 Homeland Security Disasters?
  6. Measuring disasters on a scale permits rational comparisons.

Oh, why worry? Just listen to a little soothing music.

The De Castro Sisters –Manana is soon enough for me.  

Dr. Strangelove – Vera Lynn – We’ll Meet Again


I am more worried about the instability of our present world than usual because the various nations are acting more isolationist and aggressive. The people are nervous and the politicians seem more unstable. That is strangely out of sync with the living reality of our species because at present there are more people living far better than ever before. Life expectancy is a basic measure of survival and it has increased from age 45 in 1950 to 70 in 2017. That is astonishing because for the hundred thousand years of human existence it probably didn’t change noticeably. By objective measures, most things have improved greatly in the last two hundred years and are continuing to improve for nearly everyone. So what’s the problem?

During times of social anxiety, people tend to retreat toward the security of “the good old days” but the accelerating inertia of improvement is making things better at an improving rate and no one can rest on their old habits. Unfortunately, retreating into a self-imposed shell and shutting down society’s response to the fabulous opportunities is probably going to be counterproductive.

Life has never been so good and people are so unaware of that simple fact.

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