Tags

, ,

[Click here] for all of Probaway’s EBOLA posts arranged by date. The recent posts will be at the top, and there is good information covered earlier and not repeated.

Logarithmic chart of Ebola EVD epidemic

This logarithmic chart updates the cases and deaths from the West Africa Ebola outbreak to November 4, 2015, and compares them to major historical wars and epidemics.

According to the WHO Ebola Situation Report – 4 November 2015 – there was one confirmed case of Ebola. It was a child born to a woman dying of Ebola; she has two children who are also confirmed Ebola sufferers. Case incidence has remained at 5 confirmed cases or fewer per week for 14 consecutive weeks.

The end of this Ebola epidemic is like a mirror reflection of its beginning. The chart of the cases per month is symmetrical around October 2014. Those cases are the lines labeled with a red letter C and the deaths per month with a black letter D. It is sad that there wasn’t an instant response on March 20, 2014 when the lab tests proved the strange new disease in West Africa was Ebola. It wasn’t recognized immediately because there had never been a case of Ebola within a thousand miles, and its initial symptoms are similar to many other tropical diseases. An instant response would have cost one thousandth as much and saved eleven thousand deaths. My complaint is that there should be prepackaged information kits, basic disease drop kits, and prefabricated hospitals instantly available. To treat one hundred people in an isolated area is doable, whereas treating ten thousand is a worldwide effort, because the disease can flow at the speed of modern transportation.

The beginning and ending of this epidemic each comes to a single family, an infant child with older siblings. Ebola S1 [Subject 1] Emile Ouamouno of Meliandou, Guinea, lived his two years of life in a tiny village. This newborn baby is from Kondeyah, Forecariah, Guinea. I couldn’t find that village on Google Maps or the Internet; possibly they misheard “Kalia” (at 9.432 -12.780). The area is populated with scattered groups of a few houses. If this proves to be the last case this baby will live its life with some notoriety, or fame, but it starts off as a very sick orphan.

There are new vaccines being developed to combat Ebola and they appear to be effective. Strangely, the more effective they are the more difficult it will be to prove that they are effective because there will be no Ebola outbreaks to suppress. It is strange that the anti-vaccine movement is gaining traction just as vaccines’ efficacy is proving itself, while antibiotics are losing their effectiveness and their excessive use appears to be the cause of the modern epidemics of obesity, diabetes, and some mental disorders. Giving the new digestive microbial treatments the positive name of probiotics may help balance our relationship with disease, but that method admits we must be a little sick sometimes to maintain our health.

With 7.3 billion people thinking about our problems something good must come up.

 

Advertisements